Kaichi Uchida vs Qian Sun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Zhangjiagang Challenger Men Kaichi Uchida - Qian Sun
Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
511
1st Serve Percentage
52%46%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (23/30)75% (18/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (16/28)36% (10/28)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
25% (6/24)33% (10/30)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (18/28)43% (12/28)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)0% (0/5)
Winners
1313
Unforced Errors
2335
Net Points Won
100% (1/1)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
67% (39/58)54% (28/52)
Return Points Won
46% (24/52)33% (19/58)
Total Points Won
57% (63/110)43% (47/110)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Kaichi Uchida
73.6%
Qian Sun
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Qian Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaichi Uchida that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qian Sun than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qian Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kaichi Uchida - Qian Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.34)

    3.54
    (3.07)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Uchida is ranked ATP: 576. Sun is ranked ATP: 974.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Uchida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Uchida is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
    Latest results of Qian Sun
    12.08.2025 Ye Hongyu - Qian Sun 2:0
    10.08.2025 Yuta Kikuchi - Qian Sun 2:0
    09.08.2025 Qian Sun - Edward Winter 2:0
    07.08.2025 Chun-Chien Hou - Qian Sun 1:2
    06.08.2025 Qian Sun - Akira Santillan 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tomic B. (1)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    2Binda A.Tokuda R. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Moriya H.1 : 2
    4Imamura M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Sun F. (4)Mo Y. C. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shin S.Shin W.2 : 0
    7Fomin S. (Alt)Isomura K.0 : 2
    8Cui J.Gea A. (8)2 : 1
    9Simakin I. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    10Charlton J. (Q)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    11Peliwo F. (Q)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    12Watt J. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    13Uchiyama Y. (5)Kikuchi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    14Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q)Huang T. (Q)1 : 1
    15Castelnuovo L. (Alt)Uchida K. (Q)0 : 2
    16Xiao L. (WC)Noguchi R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sekulic P.Tokuda R.0 : 2
    2Moriya H.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    3Sun F. (4)Shin S.0 : 2
    4Isomura K.Cui J.2 : 1
    5Simakin I. (7)Charlton J.2 : 0
    6Peliwo F.Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    7Uchiyama Y. (5)Huang T.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Noguchi R. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tokuda R.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    2Shin S.Isomura K.1 : 2
    3Simakin I. (7)Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y. (5)Uchida K.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Crawford O. (6)Isomura K.2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Uchiyama Y. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Crawford O. (6)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2