Result
2:1
29/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kazakhstan Cup - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Chekhovsky G. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kaldybekov E. ⚽,
- 8', Kalmurza S. ↓, Aldashev B. ↑,
- 28', Serikuly D. ↓, Sovet S. ↑,
- 28', Duysenbek S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Tolegenov A. 🟨,
- 60', Bazarbaev A. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Tazhibay B. ⚽,
- 66', Zeballos S. ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
- 67', Bazarbaev A. ↓, Tashpulatov D. ↑,
- 67', Ricardinho ↓, Smakov A. ↑,
- 68', Bagdat R. 🟨,
- 72', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Cuckic N. ↑,
- 79', Jones T. ↓, Ezekiel I. ↑,
- 79', Bagdat R. ↓, Petrik Y. ↑,
- 82', Mukhammed A. ↓, Rustemuly D. ↑,
- 86', Kurgin L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bekbolat I. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Tuyakbaev A. ⚽,
- 90+5', Askarov S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kaisar
48.6% | Draw
27.2% | Kairat
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaisar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaisar's performance.Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kairat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-24.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaisar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+26%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kaisar - Kairat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(3.64) |
3.67 ↑
(3.5) |
4.13 ↑
(1.84) |
0.3%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kaisar - Kairat?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaisar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Kaisar (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Kaisar will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaisar (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 1.
- Recent performances by Kaisar have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kairat is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kaisar won against Kairat?
Kaisar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Kaisar?
Kairat has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kaisar - Kairat were as follows:
19.07.2025
Kairat
-
Kaisar
1:1
20.04.2025
Kaisar
-
Kairat
0:0
21.09.2024
Kairat
-
Kaisar
1:0
27.04.2024
Kaisar
-
Kairat
1:0
29.07.2023
Kaisar
-
Kairat
0:0
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Akademiya Ontustik | Ordabasy | 2 : 4 |
| 2 | FC Batyr | Kaspij Aktau | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Jas Qyran | Atyrau | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Karshiga | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Arys | Aktobe | 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Turan | Yelimay Semey | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Jelaev Nan | Altai | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Taraz | Ulytau | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Talas | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Jaiyq | Kairat Almaty | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | BKS | FC Astana | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Ansat | Tobol | 0 : 8 |
| 13 | Shakhter Karagandy | Okzhetpes | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Chromtau | Zhenis | 1 : 4 |
| 15 | SD Family | Ertis Pavlodar | |
| 16 | Khan Tengri | Kyzylzhar | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Kaspij Aktau | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Atyrau | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Aktobe | Yelimay Semey | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Altai | Ulytau | 4 : 3 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kairat Almaty | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Astana | Tobol | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Okzhetpes | Zhenis | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | Kyzylzhar | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ordabasy | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | |
| 2 | Aktobe | Altai | |
| 3 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Tobol | |
| 4 | Zhenis | Kyzylzhar | |
Semi-finalsFinal
