Slovan Bratislava vs Kairat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Slovan Bratislava - Kairat
Result
1:1 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport, Voyo

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.74
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (394/516)75% (314/418)
Yellow Cards
84
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.81
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
2329
Passes
76% (394/516)75% (314/418)
Long passes
46% (32/69)38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
59% (91/155)69% (66/95)
Crosses
13% (2/15)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.49
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
2923
Tackles
57% (13/23)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7676
Clearances
1949
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.810.57
Goals prevented
0.81-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Mak R. , Tolic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Weiss V. jr. 🟨,
  • 59', Tolic M. 🟨,
  • 60', Blackman C. 🟨,
  • 61', Satpaev D. 🟨,
  • 64', Weiss V. jr. , Ignatenko D. ,
  • 68', Edmilson Santos , Zaria G. ,
  • 68', Mata L. , Mrynskiy A. ,
  • 74', Mak R. 🟨,
  • 75', Mak R. , Marcelli N. ,
  • 82', Bajric K. 🟨,
  • 86', Cruz S. , Pokorny P. ,
  • 90+1', Gromyko V. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Wimmer K. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Blackman C. , Mustafic A. ,
  • 97', Marcelli N. 🟨,
  • 98', Kitka B. 🟨,
  • 100', Zaria G. 🟨,
  • 103', Zaria G. , Stanojev J. ,
  • 106', Satpaev D. , Ricardinho ,
  • 106', Arad O. , Kasabulat D. ,
  • 106', Strelec D. , Kukharevych M. ,
  • 108', Mrynskiy A. 🟨,
  • 117', Marcelli N. , Yirajang A. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Tolic M. (Pen),
  • 1, Gromyko V. (Pen),
  • 2, Pokorny P. (Pen),
  • 2, Martynovich A. (Pen),
  • 3, Kukharevych M. (Pen),
  • 3, Ricardinho (Pen),
  • 4, Mustafic A. (Pen),
  • 4, Sorokin E. (Pen),
  • 5, Barseghyan T. (Pen),
  • 5, Jorginho (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Slovan Bratislava
55.2%
Draw
24.3%
Kairat
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.1% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 29.3% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovan Bratislava's performance.
  • Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Slovan Bratislava - Kairat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2)
    3.88
    (3.55)
    4.63
    (3.87)
    5.6%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Slovan Bratislava - Kairat?
  • Users Predictions: Slovan Bratislava will win (71 of 79 users predict this - 89.87%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.22%96.52%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Slovan Bratislava will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Slovan Bratislava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kairat is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Slovan Bratislava is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slovan Bratislava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Slovan Bratislava - Kairat were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Kairat - Slovan Bratislava 1:0
    Latest results of Slovan Bratislava
    Latest results of Kairat
    06.08.2025 Kairat - Slovan Bratislava 1:0
    02.08.2025 Kairat - Ulytau 1:0
    29.07.2025 Kairat - KuPS Kuopio 3:0
    26.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:3
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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