Kaitlin Quevedo vs Polina Iatcenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Caldas Da Rainha Challenger Women Kaitlin Quevedo - Polina Iatcenko
Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
66%64%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)74% (28/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (6/16)43% (9/21)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/38)42% (13/31)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (12/21)63% (10/16)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
52% (24/46)63% (37/59)
Return Points Won
37% (22/59)48% (22/46)
Total Points Won
44% (46/105)56% (59/105)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Kaitlin Quevedo
49.2%
Polina Iatcenko
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaitlin Quevedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaitlin Quevedo's form might have worsened.
  • Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaitlin Quevedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polina Iatcenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kaitlin Quevedo - Polina Iatcenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.53)

    1.86
    (2.37)
    6.3%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Kaitlin Quevedo - Polina Iatcenko?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quevedo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Iatcenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Quevedo is ranked WTA: 173. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Quevedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Quevedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Kaitlin Quevedo
    Latest results of Polina Iatcenko
    19.09.2025 Renata Jamrichova - Polina Iatcenko Jamrichova R. retired
    12.09.2025 Sofia Costoulas - Polina Iatcenko Costoulas S. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Tikhonova A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Murta I. (WC)Tan H.0 : 2
    3Cross K.Aksu A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Hesse A.Quevedo K. (5)0 : 2
    5Korneeva A. (3)Jamrichova R.1 : 2
    6Radwanska U. (Q)Dart H.0 : 2
    7Pliskova Ka. (WC)Andrianjafitrimo T.2 : 1
    8Iatcenko P.Jorge M. (6)2 : 0
    9Vedder E. (8)Sebov K.2 : 1
    10Knutson G.Guerrero Alvarez E. (Q)2 : 1
    11Glushko L.Dmitruk K.0 : 2
    12Belgraver J.Snigur D. (4)0 : 2
    13Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)Ryser V.2 : 1
    14Diatchenko V.Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    15Kalieva E.Nozdrachova M. (WC)2 : 0
    16Santos A.F. (WC)Korpatsch T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Tan H.2 : 0
    2Aksu A.Quevedo K. (5)1 : 2
    3Jamrichova R.Dart H.2 : 1
    4Pliskova Ka.Iatcenko P.1 : 2
    5Vedder E. (8)Knutson G.1 : 2
    6Dmitruk K.Snigur D. (4)0 : 2
    7Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)Lee C. Y.0 : 2
    8Kalieva E.Korpatsch T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Marcinko P. (RET.) (1)Quevedo K. (5)0 : 0
    2Jamrichova R. (RET.)Iatcenko P.0 : 0
    3Knutson G.Snigur D. (4)2 : 0
    4Lee C. Y.Korpatsch T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Quevedo K. (5)Iatcenko P.0 : 2
    2Knutson G.Lee C. Y.2 : 1

    Final
    1Iatcenko P.Knutson G.2 : 1