Tusker vs Kakamega Homeboyz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Mwakasaba J. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Mwakasaba J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Tusker
29.5%
Draw
35.4%
Kakamega Homeboyz
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 32.2% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 31.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (3.02)
    2.57
    (2.84)
    2.59
    (2.44)
    10.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 0.
    • Tusker has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Homeboyz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker 1:1
    22.09.2024 Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz 2:2
    30.03.2024 Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker 1:0
    16.09.2023 Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker 2:1
    01.07.2023 Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz 0:1
    Latest results of Tusker
    02.03.2026 Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker 1:2
    25.02.2026 Tusker - Muranga Seal 1:0
    21.02.2026 Shabana - Tusker 1:0
    14.02.2026 Mathare United - Tusker 3:1
    31.01.2026 Tusker - Posta Rangers 1:1
    Latest results of Kakamega Homeboyz
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia26176344:182657
    2Leopards27167436:181855
    3Kakamega Homeboyz271210542:281446
    4Police FC261110523:17643
    5Shabana27127831:30143
    6KCB27117927:27040
    7Nairobi United27109834:27739
    8Muranga27108933:30338
    9Bandari27814521:18338
    10Tusker261141123:26-337
    11Mara Sugar27713725:25034
    12Posta Rangers277101023:32-931
    13Mathare Utd26861222:27-530
    14Kariobangi Sharks275111118:29-1126
    15Ulinzi Stars27671424:31-725
    16APS Bomet275101225:33-825
    17Bidco United274101316:30-1422
    18Sofapaka27371715:36-2116

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