Umeå vs Kalmar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Superettan Umeå - Kalmar
Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 19
  • Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Stolt M. , Kalinauskas T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Persson D. , Marklund L. ,
  • 65', Stolt M. , Olusanya A. ,
  • 65', Kalinauskas T. , Magashy A. ,
  • 77', Haga M. H. , Voilas J. ,
  • 79', Sosseh G. 🟨,
  • 81', Sosseh G. , R. Gojani ,
  • 81', Mamatsashvili S. , Ylatupa S. ,
  • 90', R. Gojani 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lindmark S. , Hedstrom J. ,
  • 90+2', Gronborg T. , Vikgren L. ,

Chances of winning


Umeå
15.6%
Draw
20.7%
Kalmar
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 18.3% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3% 17.5% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Umeå - Kalmar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.01
    (6.26)
    4.43
    (5.12)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).
    • In recent matches, Umeå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kalmar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Kalmar is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umeå - Kalmar were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Kalmar - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Umeå
    10.08.2025 Trelleborg - Umeå 0:2
    04.08.2025 Umeå - Falkenberg 0:2
    26.07.2025 Brage - Umeå 2:2
    19.07.2025 Umeå - Örebro 1:1
    29.06.2025 Falkenberg - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Kalmar
    10.08.2025 Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS 2:0
    02.08.2025 Trelleborg - Kalmar 0:0
    27.07.2025 Kalmar - Utsikten 1:0
    20.07.2025 Kalmar - Brage 2:2
    29.06.2025 Örebro - Kalmar 2:2
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kalmar281710149:193061
    2Vasteras SK28185557:292859
    3Orgryte28167556:302655
    4Oddevold28138739:30947
    5Varberg281110743:36743
    6Falkenberg27119750:331742
    7Sundsvall281151234:36-238
    8Helsingborg281071137:37037
    9Landskrona271071034:40-637
    10Brage28981145:49-435
    11Sandviken281051329:46-1735
    12Ostersund28891131:46-1533
    13Utsikten28791244:47-330
    14Trelleborg27551721:47-2620
    15Orebro27391535:50-1518
    16Umea FC28371825:54-2916

          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan
          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )
          Superettan (Relegation)
          Relegation