Umeå vs Kalmar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Superettan Umeå - Kalmar
Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 19
  • Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Stolt M. , Kalinauskas T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Persson D. , Marklund L. ,
  • 65', Stolt M. , Olusanya A. ,
  • 65', Kalinauskas T. , Magashy A. ,
  • 77', Haga M. H. , Voilas J. ,
  • 79', Sosseh G. 🟨,
  • 81', Sosseh G. , R. Gojani ,
  • 81', Mamatsashvili S. , Ylatupa S. ,
  • 90', R. Gojani 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lindmark S. , Hedstrom J. ,
  • 90+2', Gronborg T. , Vikgren L. ,

Chances of winning


Umeå
15.6%
Draw
20.7%
Kalmar
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 18.3% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3% 17.5% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Umeå - Kalmar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.01
    (6.26)
    4.43
    (5.12)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).
    • In recent matches, Umeå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kalmar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Kalmar is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umeå - Kalmar were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Kalmar - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Umeå
    10.08.2025 Trelleborg - Umeå 0:2
    04.08.2025 Umeå - Falkenberg 0:2
    26.07.2025 Brage - Umeå 2:2
    19.07.2025 Umeå - Örebro 1:1
    29.06.2025 Falkenberg - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Kalmar
    10.08.2025 Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS 2:0
    02.08.2025 Trelleborg - Kalmar 0:0
    27.07.2025 Kalmar - Utsikten 1:0
    20.07.2025 Kalmar - Brage 2:2
    29.06.2025 Örebro - Kalmar 2:2
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orgryte25166355:243154
    2Vasteras SK26165553:282553
    3Kalmar251410141:162552
    4Oddevold25127636:27943
    5Varberg25118640:32841
    6Falkenberg25109646:291739
    7Sundsvall25115932:30238
    8Helsingborg2597932:31134
    9Landskrona2597931:36-534
    10Brage2588941:43-232
    11Sandviken25931325:44-1930
    12Ostersund26781130:46-1629
    13Utsikten25691040:42-227
    14Trelleborg25451618:43-2517
    15Orebro25291429:46-1715
    16Umea FC25161819:51-329

          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan
          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )
          Superettan (Relegation)
          Relegation