Umeå vs Kalmar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Superettan Umeå - Kalmar
Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 19
  • Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Stolt M. , Kalinauskas T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Persson D. , Marklund L. ,
  • 65', Stolt M. , Olusanya A. ,
  • 65', Kalinauskas T. , Magashy A. ,
  • 77', Haga M. H. , Voilas J. ,
  • 79', Sosseh G. 🟨,
  • 81', Sosseh G. , R. Gojani ,
  • 81', Mamatsashvili S. , Ylatupa S. ,
  • 90', R. Gojani 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lindmark S. , Hedstrom J. ,
  • 90+2', Gronborg T. , Vikgren L. ,

Chances of winning


Umeå
15.6%
Draw
20.7%
Kalmar
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 18.3% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3% 17.5% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Umeå - Kalmar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.01
    (6.26)
    4.43
    (5.12)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).
    • In recent matches, Umeå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kalmar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Kalmar is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umeå - Kalmar were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Kalmar - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Umeå
    10.08.2025 Trelleborg - Umeå 0:2
    04.08.2025 Umeå - Falkenberg 0:2
    26.07.2025 Brage - Umeå 2:2
    19.07.2025 Umeå - Örebro 1:1
    29.06.2025 Falkenberg - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Kalmar
    10.08.2025 Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS 2:0
    02.08.2025 Trelleborg - Kalmar 0:0
    27.07.2025 Kalmar - Utsikten 1:0
    20.07.2025 Kalmar - Brage 2:2
    29.06.2025 Örebro - Kalmar 2:2
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orgryte21126347:232442
    2Kalmar21119133:141942
    3Vasteras SK21125439:241541
    4Oddevold22125533:221141
    5Varberg22106635:29636
    6Falkenberg2288637:271032
    7Sundsvall2295828:26232
    8Brage2288636:35132
    9Landskrona2195731:30132
    10Helsingborg2176827:29-227
    11Sandviken21831023:35-1227
    12Ostersund2258924:35-1123
    13Utsikten2249933:39-621
    14Trelleborg21451215:32-1717
    15Orebro22181322:39-1711
    16Umea FC21161416:40-249

          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan
          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )
          Superettan (Relegation)
          Relegation