Umeå vs Kalmar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Superettan Umeå - Kalmar
Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 19
  • Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
611
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Stolt M. , Kalinauskas T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Persson D. , Marklund L. ,
  • 65', Stolt M. , Olusanya A. ,
  • 65', Kalinauskas T. , Magashy A. ,
  • 77', Haga M. H. , Voilas J. ,
  • 79', Sosseh G. 🟨,
  • 81', Sosseh G. , R. Gojani ,
  • 81', Mamatsashvili S. , Ylatupa S. ,
  • 90', R. Gojani 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lindmark S. , Hedstrom J. ,
  • 90+2', Gronborg T. , Vikgren L. ,

Chances of winning


Umeå
15.6%
Draw
20.7%
Kalmar
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 18.3% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3% 17.5% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Umeå - Kalmar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.01
    (6.26)
    4.43
    (5.12)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).
    • In recent matches, Umeå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kalmar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Kalmar is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umeå - Kalmar were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Kalmar - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Umeå
    10.08.2025 Trelleborg - Umeå 0:2
    04.08.2025 Umeå - Falkenberg 0:2
    26.07.2025 Brage - Umeå 2:2
    19.07.2025 Umeå - Örebro 1:1
    29.06.2025 Falkenberg - Umeå 2:0
    Latest results of Kalmar
    10.08.2025 Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS 2:0
    02.08.2025 Trelleborg - Kalmar 0:0
    27.07.2025 Kalmar - Utsikten 1:0
    20.07.2025 Kalmar - Brage 2:2
    29.06.2025 Örebro - Kalmar 2:2
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orgryte20116345:222339
    2Kalmar19108131:141738
    3Vasteras SK19105432:24835
    4Sundsvall1995525:20532
    5Oddevold1995526:22432
    6Brage2078534:30429
    7Varberg1985628:24429
    8Landskrona1985629:28129
    9Helsingborg1976627:23427
    10Falkenberg1968528:23526
    11Sandviken1973921:30-924
    12Utsikten1949631:31021
    13Ostersund1956823:32-921
    14Trelleborg19351113:30-1714
    15Umea FC19151315:37-228
    16Orebro19071218:36-187

          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan
          Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )
          Superettan (Relegation)
          Relegation