Result
3:4 penalties
17/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 05:42, 1 - 0, Lehtosaari V. (G), Vuorinen V. (A), Kahkonen J. (A2)
- 16:54, 2 - 0, Johansson S. (G), Lehtosaari V. (A), Nordman L. (A2)
- 17:16, 2 - 1, Olli T. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:54, 3 - 1, Kahkonen J. (G), Sahlstedt E. (A), Lehtosaari V. (A2)
- 04:21, 3 - 2, Miilunpohja R. (G), Pulkkanen A. (A), Hirvonen D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:37, 3 - 3, Miilunpohja R. (G), Pakarinen R. (A), Hirvonen D. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Korkiakoski T. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Vatjus M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Pakarinen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Lehtosaari V. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Timofejev D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Vechet P. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Miilunpohja R. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Tukiainen J. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Pulkkanen A. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Julkunen A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Lukko U20
41.7% | Draw
21.5% | KalPa U20
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukko U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KalPa U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lukko U20 - KalPa U20 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.09) |
4.16 ↑
(4.03) |
2.44 ↓
(2.77) |
11.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 4.
- Recent form of Lukko U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KalPa U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 66:60. (average 3.3:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 2.8:3.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko U20 won against KalPa U20?
Lukko U20 has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa U20 won against Lukko U20?
KalPa U20 has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko U20 - KalPa U20 were as follows:
01.11.2025
KalPa U20
-
Lukko U20
1:6
31.03.2025
KalPa U20
-
Lukko U20
3:5
30.03.2025
KalPa U20
-
Lukko U20
2:5
28.03.2025
Lukko U20
-
KalPa U20
2:4
27.03.2025
Lukko U20
-
KalPa U20
2:0
Latest results of Lukko U20
Latest results of KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves U20 ✔ | 40 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 177:91 | 92 |
| 2 | Pelicans Lahti U20 ✔ | 39 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 139:85 | 81 |
| 3 | Assat U20 | 40 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 128:96 | 72 |
| 4 | Jyvaskyla U20 | 41 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 121:113 | 71 |
| 5 | Jukurit U20 | 40 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 121:113 | 66 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo U20 | 39 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 126:102 | 64 |
| 7 | Tappara U20 | 39 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 121:114 | 62 |
| 8 | Hameenlinna U20 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 129:117 | 61 |
| 9 | TPS U20 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 104:107 | 61 |
| 10 | Karpat U20 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 113:126 | 60 |
| 11 | KooKoo U20 | 39 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 102:104 | 56 |
| 12 | KalPa U20 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 149:149 | 55 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki U20 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 118:123 | 54 |
| 14 | Jokerit U20 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 114:125 | 53 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport U20 | 39 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 111:131 | 52 |
| 16 | Lukko U20 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 91:114 | 49 |
| 17 | SaiPa U20 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 104:175 | 36 |
| 18 | RoKi U20 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 91:174 | 23 |
Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
SM~sarja U20 (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pelicans Lahti U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
