Result
4:1
26/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.21 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 4.35% (1/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.65% (22/23) | 91.3% (21/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.67 | 53.33 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 11:00, 0 - 1, Wright C. (G), Boscq J. (A),
- 12:30, Huttunen H. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:35, Korhonen B. (2 min),
- 10:58, 1 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Kapanen K. (A),
- 12:17, 2 - 1, Curry P. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Hartikainen T. (A2)
- 17:22, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 11:20, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
- 18:43, 3 - 1, Tornberg A. (G), Lantta J. (A),
- 19:12, 4 - 1, Kononen J. (G), Tornberg A. (A), Okany A. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
51.6% | Draw
23% | HPK
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KalPa - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.81) |
4.04 ↑
(3.95) |
3.73 ↓
(3.97) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- HPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, HPK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, KalPa is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 57:51. (average 2.9:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 3.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against HPK?
KalPa has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against KalPa?
HPK has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - HPK were as follows:
24.01.2025
KalPa
-
HPK
1:4
20.12.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
2:1
27.11.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
3:4
16.10.2024
KalPa
-
HPK
3:2
08.03.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 29 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 101:68 | 57 |
| 2 | Assat | 29 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 91:64 | 55 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 102:76 | 53 |
| 4 | JYP | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 101:78 | 51 |
| 5 | Lukko | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 81:72 | 49 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 28 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 93:75 | 47 |
| 7 | Kiekko-Espoo | 30 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 79:88 | 44 |
| 8 | KalPa | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 87:88 | 43 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 31 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 72:77 | 43 |
| 10 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 11 | Ilves | 27 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 76:85 | 38 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 28 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 57:67 | 38 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 30 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 61:97 | 36 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 28 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 68:78 | 35 |
| 15 | Karpat | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 89:99 | 32 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 60:90 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
