Result
1:2
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.91 | 2.93 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.45% (1/29) | 9.52% (2/21) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.48% (19/21) | 96.55% (28/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 61.82 | 38.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 18:22, 0 - 1, Kononen J. (G), Lantta J. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:36, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
- 05:36, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
- 05:36, Kainulainen H. (2 min),
- 07:02, 1 - 1, Paivarinta S. (G), Wright C. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
- 08:09, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:02, Sertti L. (2 min),
- 03:42, 1 - 2, Lantta J. (G), Mononen V. (A),
- 07:22, Korhonen O. (2 min),
Chances of winning
HPK
40.2% | Draw
24.6% | KalPa
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HPK - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.58) |
3.73 ↓
(4.56) |
2.66 ↑
(2.22) |
7.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 50:60. (average 2.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 3.2:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against KalPa?
HPK has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against HPK?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - KalPa were as follows:
26.11.2025
KalPa
-
HPK
4:1
24.01.2025
KalPa
-
HPK
1:4
20.12.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
2:1
27.11.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
3:4
16.10.2024
KalPa
-
HPK
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
