Result
1:4
24/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 2.36 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.35% (1/23) | 23.53% (4/17) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.25% (13/16) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 40% (2/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 100% (7/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.15 | 53.85 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 06:33, Kapanen K. (2 min),
- 12:32, Caron T. (2 min),
- 15:56, 1 - 0, Maenpaa J. (G), Elorinne A. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
- 17:07, Simontaival K. (2 min),
- 17:37, Elorinne A. (2 min),
- 18:15, 1 - 1, Tuulola E. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
- 19:29, 1 - 2, Caron T. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 01:10, Klemetti A. (2 min),
- 01:10, Huttunen H. (2 min),
- 09:28, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 04:32, 1 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Nikkila P. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
- 04:52, Noel D. (2 min),
- 15:38, Caron T. (2 min),
- 18:32, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 19:20, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 19:49, 1 - 4, Tuulola E. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
62.5% | Draw
19.5% | HPK
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HPK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KalPa - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.61) |
4.78 ↑
(4.47) |
5.12 ↑
(4.25) |
7.8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for KalPa - HPK?
Users Predictions:
HPK will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches KalPa won 4.
- KalPa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- HPK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- KalPa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match KalPa is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's HPK to win the game is with odds 4.58.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches KalPa won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 61:48 (average 3.1:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams KalPa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30:16 (average 3.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against HPK?
KalPa has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against KalPa?
HPK has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - HPK were as follows:
20.12.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
2:1
27.11.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
3:4
16.10.2024
KalPa
-
HPK
3:2
08.03.2024
HPK
-
KalPa
2:3
06.01.2024
KalPa
-
HPK
5:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
