Result
1:0 penalties
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.99 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/22) | 0% (0/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (28/28) | 100% (22/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.55 | 53.45 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 12:55, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:05, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 11:10, True A. (2 min),
- 16:56, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 03:31, Vidgren A. (2 min),
- 03:57, Maenpaa J. (2 min),
- 05:27, Curry P. (2 min),
- 10:57, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- 01:23, True A. (2 min),
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Puustinen J. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Borchardt C. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Nieminen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Hartikainen T. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
KalPa
42.4% | Draw
23.4% | JYP
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
KalPa - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.24) |
3.93 ↑
(3.84) |
2.74
(2.74) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
- KalPa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- JYP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 66:57. (average 3.3:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 3.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against JYP?
KalPa has won 15 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against KalPa?
JYP has won 12 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - JYP were as follows:
10.01.2026
JYP
-
KalPa
2:5
05.12.2025
JYP
-
KalPa
6:2
15.11.2025
KalPa
-
JYP
2:5
14.11.2025
JYP
-
KalPa
5:4
01.02.2025
KalPa
-
JYP
8:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
