Result
1:0 penalties
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.99 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/22) | 0% (0/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (28/28) | 100% (22/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.55 | 53.45 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 12:55, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:05, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 11:10, True A. (2 min),
- 16:56, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 03:31, Vidgren A. (2 min),
- 03:57, Maenpaa J. (2 min),
- 05:27, Curry P. (2 min),
- 10:57, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- 01:23, True A. (2 min),
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Puustinen J. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Borchardt C. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Nieminen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Hartikainen T. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
KalPa
42.4% | Draw
23.4% | JYP
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
KalPa - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.24) |
3.93 ↑
(3.84) |
2.74
(2.74) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
- KalPa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- JYP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 66:57. (average 3.3:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 3.1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against JYP?
KalPa has won 15 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against KalPa?
JYP has won 12 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - JYP were as follows:
10.01.2026
JYP
-
KalPa
2:5
05.12.2025
JYP
-
KalPa
6:2
15.11.2025
KalPa
-
JYP
2:5
14.11.2025
JYP
-
KalPa
5:4
01.02.2025
KalPa
-
JYP
8:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
