KalPa vs Lukko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Olvi Areena (Kuopio).

Liiga
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.59	2.15
Shots on Goal
17	15
Shots off target
8	17
Shooting PCT
35.29% (6/17)	13.33% (2/15)
Blocked Shots
7	12
Goalkeeper Saves
13	11
Saves PCT
86.67% (13/15)	68.75% (11/16)
Penalties
1	5
PIM
2	10
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)	0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)	80% (4/5)
Faceoffs Won
22	28
Faceoffs %
44	56
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (3 - 1)
09:32, Olsson A. (2 min),
10:13, 1 - 0, Curry P. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Hartikainen T. (A2)
15:19, 2 - 0, Borchardt C. (G), Curry P. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
16:14, 3 - 0, Okany A. (G), Kononen J. (A), Tornberg A. (A2)
16:59, 3 - 1, Morand A. (G), Almari N. (A), Beaucage A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:02, Olsson A. (2 min),
03:43, Joki A. (Penalty Shot),
07:34, Rissanen J. (2 min),
09:49, 4 - 1, Maenpaa J. (G), Rissanen J. (A),
13:01, Morand A. (2 min),
17:31, Gelinas E. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:03, Joki A. (2 min),
08:12, 4 - 2, Krannila J. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Morand A. (A2)
10:05, 5 - 2, Curry P. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Borchardt C. (A2)
14:29, 6 - 2, Korhonen B. (G), Rissanen J. (A),

Chances of winning

KalPa
44.7%

Draw
23.7%

Lukko
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

23.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.5%

27.2%

KalPa - Lukko Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	3.95 ↓ (4)	3 ↓ (3.1)	6.9% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 1.
KalPa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lukko is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.
KalPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 3.16.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:49. (average 2.6:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 2.3:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Lukko?

KalPa has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against KalPa?

Lukko has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Lukko were as follows:

18.12.2024 Lukko - KalPa 5:3

13.12.2024 KalPa - Lukko 1:4

01.03.2024 Lukko - KalPa 3:2

14.02.2024 KalPa - Lukko 5:2

30.09.2023 Lukko - KalPa 2:1

Latest results of KalPa

19.11.2025 KalPa - ZSC Lions 4:2 ✺

15.11.2025 KalPa - JYP 2:5 ✺

14.11.2025 JYP - KalPa 5:4 ✺

11.11.2025 ZSC Lions - KalPa 4:4 ✺

01.11.2025 Ilves - KalPa 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Lukko

21.11.2025 JYP - Lukko 4:3 ✺

18.11.2025 Lukko - Storhamar Dragons 5:2 ✺

15.11.2025 SaiPa - Lukko 4:5 ✺

14.11.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko 2:3 ✺

12.11.2025 Storhamar Dragons - Lukko 2:3 ✺

Finnish SM-liiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Assat	24	14	3	0	7	74:50	48
2	JYP	21	13	3	1	4	86:59	46
3	Tappara	24	13	2	2	7	82:55	45
4	KooKoo	24	11	5	0	8	86:67	43
5	Lukko	23	11	2	1	9	68:64	38
6	Jukurit	25	10	2	3	10	61:67	37
7	TPS Turku	25	7	5	5	8	58:61	36
8	SaiPa	24	9	2	4	9	72:69	35
9	Kiekko-Espoo	24	8	3	5	8	67:70	35
10	KalPa	21	9	3	1	8	68:66	34
11	Hameenlinna	23	8	3	4	8	62:63	34
12	Ilves	24	8	3	3	10	69:77	33
13	Karpat	25	8	2	2	13	81:84	30
14	Pelicans	23	5	3	5	10	40:61	26
15	Vaasan Sport	22	6	0	6	10	53:70	24
16	IFK Helsinki	24	5	2	1	16	42:86	20

      Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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