Result
6:5 OT
17/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (6/18) | 16.67% (5/30) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (25/30) | 66.67% (12/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (2/6) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 39 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 40.91 | 59.09 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 01:19, 1 - 0, Ford C. (G), Peters A. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
- 03:16, Curry P. (2 min),
- 04:57, 2 - 0, Viitasalo N. (G), Morand A. (A), Ford C. (A2)
- 07:06, 2 - 1, Borchardt C. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 11:04, Morand A. (2 min),
- 12:41, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 03:06, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
- 04:07, 2 - 2, Curry P. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
- 10:11, Kanak L. (2 min),
- 11:05, 2 - 3, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 12:51, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 17:34, 2 - 4, Kononen J. (G), Kombe K. (A), Tornberg A. (A2)
- 18:26, 3 - 4, Gelinas E. (G), Morand A. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
- 19:05, Olsson A. (2 min),
- 19:05, Curry P. (2 min),
- 19:05, Curry P. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:43, 4 - 4, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Po. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- 03:51, 4 - 5, Borchardt C. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
- 06:05, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 08:35, 5 - 5, Ikonen H. (G), Haapanen T. (A), Peters A. (A2)
- 09:03, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 02:05, 6 - 5, Morand A. (G), Saarela A. (A), Almari N. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lukko
50.2% | Draw
21.8% | KalPa
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Lukko - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.8) |
4.24 ↑
(4.13) |
3.35 ↓
(3.68) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - KalPa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- In recent matches, Lukko has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KalPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lukko will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:55. (average 2.4:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 3.1:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against KalPa?
Lukko has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Lukko?
KalPa has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - KalPa were as follows:
22.11.2025
KalPa
-
Lukko
6:2
18.12.2024
Lukko
-
KalPa
5:3
13.12.2024
KalPa
-
Lukko
1:4
01.03.2024
Lukko
-
KalPa
3:2
14.02.2024
KalPa
-
Lukko
5:2
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
