Kaluga vs Polyot Rybinsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
09/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NMHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 2)
  • 03:59, 0 - 1, Sultanov R. (G), Lazar K. (A),
  • 12:11, 0 - 2, Petrov N. (G), Sultanov R. (A), Kurmanayev D. (A2)
  • 13:11, 1 - 2, Chemerskikh S. (G), Vildanov A. (A),
  • 16:03, 2 - 2, Dolgorukov D. (G), Vildanov A. (A),
  • 16:23, 3 - 2, Repin R. (G), Fatkullin D. (A), Kitanin I. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 13:43, 4 - 2, Dyachenko N. (G), Ignatov N. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:45, 5 - 2, Meshcherin K. (G), Meshkantsov N. (A),

Chances of winning


Kaluga
62.4%
Draw
18.4%
Polyot Rybinsk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 18.8% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 19.6% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Polyot Rybinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.47)
    4.95
    (4.85)
    4.73
    (4.73)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.75
    Preview Facts
    • Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Polyot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 3.
    • Kaluga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Polyot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kaluga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kaluga is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Kaluga will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 4.5:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kaluga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga 4:3
    08.12.2025 Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga 3:8
    08.03.2025 Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga 2:5
    07.03.2025 Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga 4:1
    26.10.2024 Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk 6:3
    Latest results of Kaluga
    Latest results of Polyot Rybinsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1MHK Ryazan (1)HC Krasnodar (8)3 : 0
    2Bobrov (4)Sokol Novocheboksarsk (5)3 : 0
    3Yermak Angarsk (2)Progress Glazov (7)2 : 1
    4Dizelist (3)Kristall BDK (6)0 : 3
    5Buran Moscow (1)Fakel (8)3 : 0
    6Dinamo 576 (4)Metallurg Cherepovets (5)0 : 3
    7Kaluga (2)Voevoda Podolsk (7)3 : 0
    8Granit (3)Polot (6)2 : 1