Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (56/83) | 79% (49/62) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 53% (17/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (13/62) | 33% (27/83) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 65% (20/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (67/114) | 70% (66/94) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (28/94) | 41% (47/114) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (95/208) | 54% (113/208) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 93% (13/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 62% (18/29) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
40.6% | Kamil Majchrzak
59.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Carreno-Busta's form might have worsened.Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamil Majchrzak's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamil Majchrzak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.75) |
|
1.57 ↓
(1.96) |
7.5%
(8.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak?
Users Predictions:
Kamil Majchrzak will win
(30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.46% – 93.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kamil Majchrzak will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 103. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 102.
- Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Majchrzak is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Kamil Majchrzak?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kamil Majchrzak won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Kamil Majchrzak has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak were as follows:
14.01.2025
Pablo Carreno-Busta
-
Kamil Majchrzak
3:0
20.06.2024
Kamil Majchrzak
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
2:1
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Kamil Majchrzak
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
