Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (241/297) | 86% (343/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.81 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (241/297) | 86% (343/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (53/79) | 69% (74/108) |
| Crosses |
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| 27% (3/11) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.80 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
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| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
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| 70% (14/20) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.03 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Denman A. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Fudsuparp P. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
- 56', Supunpasuch C. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
- 59', Paredes J. 🟨,
- 60', Paredes J. ↓, Gildo ↑,
- 66', Klomjit W. ↓, Gurd A. ↑,
- 66', Liorungrueangkit P. ↓, Aguero S. ↑,
- 66', Samphaodi C. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
- 77', Romeu ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
- 89', Thumporn T. ↓, Logarwit S. ↑,
- 89', Barreto ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
- 90+2', Bardanca 🟨,
- 90+4', Townsend A. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 90+5', Gurd A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kanchanaburi
50.7% | Draw
25.9% | Sukhothai
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kanchanaburi's form might have worsened.Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.63) |
3.57 ↓
(3.87) |
3.93 ↓
(4.64) |
8.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 12)
- Kanchanaburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sukhothai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kanchanaburi is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Kanchanaburi won against Sukhothai?
Kanchanaburi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Kanchanaburi?
Sukhothai has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai were as follows:
08.11.2025
Sukhothai
-
Kanchanaburi
1:1
10.04.2024
Kanchanaburi
-
Sukhothai
2:0
Latest results of Kanchanaburi
Latest results of Sukhothai
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 65:20 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:20 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 42 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 40 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:34 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 29:32 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 24 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:39 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
