Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.920.53
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
41
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
46
Passes
81% (241/297)86% (343/400)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.920.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.03
Total shots
119
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
46
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
69
Passes
81% (241/297)86% (343/400)
Long passes
47% (24/51)58% (25/43)
Passes in final third
67% (53/79)69% (74/108)
Crosses
27% (3/11)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.11
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
96
Tackles
70% (14/20)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.030.81
Goals prevented
0.03-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Denman A. , Aranpiroj R. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Fudsuparp P. , Lucero J. (A),
  • 56', Supunpasuch C. , Ratniyorm S. ,
  • 59', Paredes J. 🟨,
  • 60', Paredes J. , Gildo ,
  • 66', Klomjit W. , Gurd A. ,
  • 66', Liorungrueangkit P. , Aguero S. ,
  • 66', Samphaodi C. , Rodrigues G. ,
  • 77', Romeu , Mateusinho ,
  • 89', Thumporn T. , Logarwit S. ,
  • 89', Barreto , Khamphaeng P. ,
  • 90+2', Bardanca 🟨,
  • 90+4', Townsend A. , Ewerton ,
  • 90+5', Gurd A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kanchanaburi
50.7%
Draw
25.9%
Sukhothai
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 23.8% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 22.7% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kanchanaburi's form might have worsened.
  • Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.63)
    3.57
    (3.87)
    3.93
    (4.64)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 12)
    • Kanchanaburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sukhothai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Kanchanaburi is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi 1:1
    10.04.2024 Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai 2:0
    Latest results of Kanchanaburi
    Latest results of Sukhothai
    07.03.2026 Sukhothai - Rayong FC 2:1
    01.03.2026 Pathum United - Sukhothai 2:1
    21.02.2026 Buriram United - Sukhothai 6:0
    01.02.2026 Sukhothai - Uthai Thani 1:1
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram ✔ 28223374:274769
    2Port MTI FC28166652:213154
    3Ratchaburi28165748:291953
    4Pathum United28139641:281348
    5Bangkok Utd281210638:30846
    6Prachuap281012637:34342
    7Rayong FC28991042:42036
    8Chiangrai Utd28812835:37-236
    9Chonburi28981134:38-435
    10Ayutthaya Utd28881232:42-1032
    11Uthai Thani287101139:41-231
    12Lamphun Warrior28415934:46-1227
    13Sukhothai285101320:41-2125
    14Muang Thong Utd28671526:48-2225
    15Kanchanaburi284101427:51-2422
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC28561718:42-2421

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )