Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.92 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
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| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (241/297) | 86% (343/400) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.92 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.81 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (241/297) | 86% (343/400) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (24/51) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (53/79) | 69% (74/108) |
| Crosses |
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| 27% (3/11) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.80 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
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| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
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| 70% (14/20) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.03 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.03 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Denman A. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Fudsuparp P. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
- 56', Supunpasuch C. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
- 59', Paredes J. 🟨,
- 60', Paredes J. ↓, Gildo ↑,
- 66', Klomjit W. ↓, Gurd A. ↑,
- 66', Liorungrueangkit P. ↓, Aguero S. ↑,
- 66', Samphaodi C. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
- 77', Romeu ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
- 89', Thumporn T. ↓, Logarwit S. ↑,
- 89', Barreto ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
- 90+2', Bardanca 🟨,
- 90+4', Townsend A. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 90+5', Gurd A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kanchanaburi 50.7% | Draw 25.9% | Sukhothai 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kanchanaburi's form might have worsened.Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.63) |
3.57 ↓ (3.87) |
3.93 ↓ (4.64) |
8.3% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 12)
- Kanchanaburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sukhothai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kanchanaburi is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Kanchanaburi won against Sukhothai?
Kanchanaburi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Kanchanaburi?
Sukhothai has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai were as follows:
08.11.2025
Sukhothai
-
Kanchanaburi
1:1
10.04.2024
Kanchanaburi
-
Sukhothai
2:0
Latest results of Kanchanaburi
Latest results of Sukhothai
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 74:27 | 47 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:21 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 25 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:48 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Kanchanaburi | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27:51 | -24 | 22 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )