Admira vs Kapfenberger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Datenpol Arena (Maria Enzersdorf).

2. Liga - Round 16
Referee: Jager F. (Aut)
Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1

Match Stats


Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
22	5
Shots on target
9	3
Corner Kicks
9	3
Yellow Cards
2	3
Total shots
22	5
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
13	2
Corner Kicks
9	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', Toure L. ↓, Kavaz F. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Weberbauer J. ⚽, Schwarz A. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Schmidt A. ⚽, Horvat M. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Gemicibasi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Popic A. ↓, Rostas J. ↑,
46', Kadlec M. ↓, Marinovic A. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Schabauer M. ⚽,
53', 5 - 0, Meisl M. ⚽, Weberbauer J. (A),
56', Berg M. 🟨,
59', Hassler L. ↓, Pranjkovic M. ↑,
65', Schmidt A. ↓, Bradaric I. ↑,
65', Gemicibasi T. ↓, Olsa C. ↑,
65', Haudum S. ↓, Holzhacker F. ↑,
68', Marinovic A. 🟨,
71', Ristanic F. ↓, Wagner M. ↑,
71', Steiner S. ↓, Forst J. ↑,
73', Turi J. 🟨,
73', Siebenhandl J. 🟨,
76', Schabauer M. 🟨,
77', Kavaz F. ↓, Knabl N. F. ↑,
84', 6 - 0, Wagner M. ⚽,
90+2', 6 - 1, Knabl N. F. ⚽, Marinovic A. (A),

Chances of winning

Admira
65.1%

Draw
20.2%

Kapfenberger SV
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admira than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Admira - Kapfenberger SV Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.59 ↑ (4.09)	6.31 ↑ (5.54)	7.7% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Admira - Kapfenberger SV?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Admira will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Admira will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admira won 4.
Admira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kapfenberg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Admira is the clear favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Admira won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Admira won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Admira won against Kapfenberger SV?

Admira has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kapfenberger SV won against Admira?

Kapfenberger SV has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Admira - Kapfenberger SV were as follows:

01.08.2025 Kapfenberger SV - Admira 0:2

31.01.2025 Admira - Kapfenberger SV 2:0

06.12.2024 Kapfenberger SV - Admira 3:4

02.08.2024 Admira - Kapfenberger SV 0:1

19.04.2024 Admira - Kapfenberger SV 1:0

Latest results of Admira

28.11.2025 Floridsdorfer AC - Admira 1:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Admira - Liefering 4:0 ✺

07.11.2025 Admira - St. Pölten 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Sturm Graz B - Admira 1:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Admira - Sturm Graz 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Kapfenberger SV

28.11.2025 Kapfenberger SV - Austria Wien II 1:2 ✺

23.11.2025 St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV 2:1 ✺

12.11.2025 Lafnitz - Kapfenberger SV 2:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Liefering - Kapfenberger SV 5:2 ✺

31.10.2025 Kapfenberger SV - Austria Salzburg 4:1 ✺

Austrian 2 Liga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St. Polten	22	14	2	6	40:23	17	44
2	A. Lustenau	22	12	5	5	28:20	8	41
3	Floridsdorfer AC	23	12	5	6	31:14	17	41
4	Amstetten	23	10	10	3	35:24	11	40
5	Admira	22	10	9	3	47:25	22	39
6	Austria Vienna (Am)	23	11	4	8	29:28	1	37
7	Liefering	22	8	7	7	32:37	-5	31
8	First Vienna	22	8	5	9	25:23	2	29
9	A. Salzburg	23	7	7	9	30:34	-4	28
10	SK Rapid II	23	7	5	11	28:35	-7	26
11	Hertha Wels	23	6	6	11	27:32	-5	24
12	Kapfenberg	22	6	4	12	25:42	-17	22
13	A. Klagenfurt	22	6	5	11	24:36	-12	20
14	Sturm Graz II	22	5	5	12	21:34	-13	20
15	Bregenz	22	2	9	11	28:43	-15	12
16	Stripfing	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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