Admira vs Kapfenberger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:1
05/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 16
  • Referee: Jager F. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
225
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
225
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
132
Corner Kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 18', Toure L. , Kavaz F. ,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Weberbauer J. , Schwarz A. (A),
  • 28', 2 - 0, Schmidt A. , Horvat M. (A),
  • 31', 3 - 0, Gemicibasi T. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Popic A. , Rostas J. ,
  • 46', Kadlec M. , Marinovic A. ,
  • 48', 4 - 0, Schabauer M. ,
  • 53', 5 - 0, Meisl M. , Weberbauer J. (A),
  • 56', Berg M. 🟨,
  • 59', Hassler L. , Pranjkovic M. ,
  • 65', Schmidt A. , Bradaric I. ,
  • 65', Gemicibasi T. , Olsa C. ,
  • 65', Haudum S. , Holzhacker F. ,
  • 68', Marinovic A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ristanic F. , Wagner M. ,
  • 71', Steiner S. , Forst J. ,
  • 73', Turi J. 🟨,
  • 73', Siebenhandl J. 🟨,
  • 76', Schabauer M. 🟨,
  • 77', Kavaz F. , Knabl N. F. ,
  • 84', 6 - 0, Wagner M. ,
  • 90+2', 6 - 1, Knabl N. F. , Marinovic A. (A),

Chances of winning


Admira
65.1%
Draw
20.2%
Kapfenberger SV
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 22.6% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 21.8% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Admira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admira than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Admira - Kapfenberger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.52)
    4.59
    (4.09)
    6.31
    (5.54)
    7.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Admira - Kapfenberger SV?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Admira will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Admira will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admira won 4.
    • Admira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kapfenberg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Admira is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Admira won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Admira won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Admira - Kapfenberger SV were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Kapfenberger SV - Admira 0:2
    31.01.2025 Admira - Kapfenberger SV 2:0
    06.12.2024 Kapfenberger SV - Admira 3:4
    02.08.2024 Admira - Kapfenberger SV 0:1
    19.04.2024 Admira - Kapfenberger SV 1:0
    Latest results of Admira
    28.11.2025 Floridsdorfer AC - Admira 1:1
    22.11.2025 Admira - Liefering 4:0
    07.11.2025 Admira - St. Pölten 2:1
    01.11.2025 Sturm Graz B - Admira 1:1
    29.10.2025 Admira - Sturm Graz 1:2
    Latest results of Kapfenberger SV
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1A. Lustenau25145634:231147
    2St. Polten25144740:261446
    3Floridsdorfer AC26136737:172045
    4Admira251111349:262344
    5Amstetten261011537:32541
    6Liefering25108737:38-138
    7Austria Vienna (Am)25115930:31-138
    8First Vienna2597927:24334
    9A. Salzburg2689932:35-333
    10Hertha Wels25861134:35-130
    11A. Klagenfurt25861129:37-827
    12SK Rapid II25751329:42-1326
    13Kapfenberg25741428:45-1725
    14Sturm Graz II25561424:39-1521
    15Bregenz25391334:51-1715
    16Stripfing ✔ 00000:000

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