Kapfenberger SV vs SPG Wels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
12/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 6
  • Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
512
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
110
Corner Kicks
26
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Prohart F. ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Conte K. ,
  • 32', Bosnjak A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 2 - 1, Hassler L. , Littig R. (A),
  • 51', Maier T. , N'Zi O. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Gashi A. , Forjan M. (A),
  • 60', Hofer M. , Lagundzic I. ,
  • 60', Rostas J. , Toure L. ,
  • 62', Castro A. , Malinowski S. ,
  • 62', N'Zi O. 🟨,
  • 64', Miskovic M. 🟨,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Prohart F. ,
  • 76', Feyrer S. , Mayr A. ,
  • 82', Brugger M. , Schwaighofer J. ,
  • 84', Hassler L. , Kavaz F. ,
  • 84', Berg M. , Kadlec M. ,
  • 86', Lagundzic I. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Forjan M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kapfenberger SV
50%
Draw
24.1%
SPG Wels
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 22.3% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 21.3% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapfenberger SV's form might have worsened.
  • SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapfenberger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPG Wels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.51)
    3.97
    (4.1)
    3.69
    (5.4)
    4.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kapfenberg will win (votes: 6 - 60%). SPG Wels will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kapfenberg: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kapfenberg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). SPG Wels (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - SPG Wels (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Kapfenberg (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Kapfenberg (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kapfenberg (votes: 3 - 50%). SPG Wels (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 12).
    • Kapfenberg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • SPG Wels is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Kapfenberg has had a series of away games.
    • Kapfenberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Kapfenberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Kapfenberger SV
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    29.08.2025 SPG Wels - Austria Wien II 0:1
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    22.08.2025 Admira - SPG Wels 1:0
    15.08.2025 SPG Wels - Amstetten 1:0
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Admira1797139:162334
    2A. Lustenau17104323:131034
    3Amstetten1788129:161332
    4St. Polten17102530:191132
    5Floridsdorfer AC1685323:101329
    6Austria Vienna (Am)1773721:25-424
    7Liefering1657424:26-222
    8First Vienna1655618:18020
    9A. Salzburg1654721:27-619
    10SK Rapid II1644818:26-816
    11A. Klagenfurt1653818:24-615
    12Kapfenberg17431020:35-1515
    13Hertha Wels1735916:25-914
    14Sturm Graz II1525815:28-1311
    15Bregenz1627720:27-710
    16Stripfing00000:000

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