SPG Wels vs Kapfenberger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 21
  • Referee: Macanovic S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
62
Corner kicks
48
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
97
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Thurnwald M. , Muller P. (A),
  • 12', Littig R. 🟨,
  • 27', Miskovic M. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Gobara P. , Malinowski S. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 0, Thurnwald M. , Malinowski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kadlec M. , Turi J. ,
  • 46', Berg M. , Marinovic A. ,
  • 51', Schrocker K. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 1, Hassler L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Radics A. , Svec M. ,
  • 77', Miskovic M. , Mikulic N. ,
  • 77', N'Zi O. , Rostas J. ,
  • 77', Muller P. , Brugger M. ,
  • 78', Mikulic N. 🟨,
  • 83', Marinovic A. 🟨,
  • 86', Malinowski S. , Nachbagauer F. ,
  • 87', Littig R. , Popic A. ,
  • 90+1', Feyrer S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Thurnwald M. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


SPG Wels
45.3%
Draw
28%
Kapfenberger SV
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 26.8% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.2% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • SPG Wels - Kapfenberger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.94)
    3.32
    (3.44)
    3.48
    (3.59)
    7.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for SPG Wels - Kapfenberger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. SPG Wels will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kapfenberg will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for SPG Wels: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SPG Wels (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Kapfenberg (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SPG Wels (votes: 1 - 50%). Kapfenberg (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
    • SPG Wels is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kapfenberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kapfenberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Kapfenberg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, SPG Wels is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPG Wels - Kapfenberger SV were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels 3:2
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    07.03.2026 Austria Wien II - SPG Wels 1:0
    27.02.2026 SPG Wels - Admira 1:0
    22.02.2026 Amstetten - SPG Wels 1:1
    06.02.2026 SPG Wels - Union Gurten 2:0
    03.02.2026 SPG Wels - LASK II 3:1
    Latest results of Kapfenberger SV
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Admira20108246:212538
    2Floridsdorfer AC20115429:111838
    3A. Lustenau19114424:16837
    4Amstetten2098333:231035
    5St. Polten19112635:221335
    6Austria Vienna (Am)20103725:25033
    7Liefering2087530:31-131
    8A. Salzburg2075826:29-326
    9First Vienna1965821:21023
    10Hertha Wels20551020:27-720
    11SK Rapid II20551023:33-1020
    12Kapfenberg19531123:39-1618
    13A. Klagenfurt1955922:31-917
    14Sturm Graz II19351117:32-1514
    15Bregenz20281025:38-1311
    16Stripfing00000:000

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