Karen Khachanov vs Kamil Majchrzak – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max

Match Stats


Aces
22	14
Double Faults
12	5
1st Serve Percentage
61%	63%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (87/105)	71% (96/136)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (27/67)	52% (42/81)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)	76% (13/17)
Average 1st Serve Speed
188 km/h	175 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
155 km/h	140 km/h
1st Return Points Won
30% (41/136)	17% (18/105)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (39/81)	60% (40/67)
Break Points Converted
24% (4/17)	44% (4/9)
Winners
79	67
Unforced Errors
62	49
Net Points Won
74% (23/31)	80% (33/41)
Service Points Won
66% (114/172)	63% (139/219)
Return Points Won
37% (80/219)	34% (58/172)
Total Points Won
50% (194/391)	50% (197/391)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	5
Service Games Won
85% (23/27)	85% (23/27)
Return Games Won
15% (4/27)	15% (4/27)
Total Games Won
50% (27/54)	50% (27/54)
Distance Covered (metres)
3948	4099

Chances of winning

Karen Khachanov
78.3%

Kamil Majchrzak
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kamil Majchrzak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kamil Majchrzak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.39)		4.37 ↑ (3.17)	4.7% (3.5%)

What is the prediction for Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Majchrzak will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 71.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 9. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 76.
At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Khachanov is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Karen Khachanov won against Kamil Majchrzak?

Karen Khachanov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kamil Majchrzak won against Karen Khachanov?

Kamil Majchrzak has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak were as follows:

06.07.2025 Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak 3:0

Latest results of Karen Khachanov

25.08.2025 Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy 3:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev Khachanov K. retired ✺

12.08.2025 Karen Khachanov - Jenson Brooksby 2:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Karen Khachanov - Valentin Royer 2:0 ✺

07.08.2025 Karen Khachanov - Ben Shelton 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Kamil Majchrzak

25.08.2025 Hugo Dellien - Kamil Majchrzak 1:3 ✺

20.08.2025 Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Korda 1:2 ✺

18.08.2025 Nuno Borges - Kamil Majchrzak 0:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Kamil Majchrzak - Nicolas Jarry 2:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Kamil Majchrzak - Dino Prizmic 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3