Karl Poling vs Connor Thomson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
63%69%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (19/26)59% (22/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
87% (13/15)29% (5/17)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
41% (15/37)27% (7/26)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (12/17)13% (2/15)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
80% (32/40)50% (27/54)
Return Points Won
50% (27/54)20% (8/40)
Total Points Won
63% (59/94)37% (35/94)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
44.4%
Connor Thomson
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%

Karl Poling - Connor Thomson Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.85)

1.67
(1.85)
7.6%
(8.4%)
What is the prediction for Karl Poling - Connor Thomson?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Poling (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Thomson (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Karl Poling will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 614. Thomson is ranked ATP: 1151.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Poling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Latest results of Connor Thomson
    17.10.2025 Lui Maxted - Connor Thomson Maxted L. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Draxl L. (1)Arseneault M. (Q)2 : 1
    2Boulais J.McCormick T.0 : 2
    3Kasnikowski M.Wiskandt M.2 : 1
    4Harper C. (WC)Mmoh M. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 0
    6Kim J. (Q)Baadi T. (Q)2 : 0
    7Martin D.Winter E.2 : 0
    8Rice K. (WC)Rybakov A. (6)2 : 1
    9Trotter J. K. (5)Poljak D. (Q)2 : 0
    10Aguilar J. C. M.Wessels L. (Q)0 : 2
    11Thanos A.Milavsky D.0 : 2
    12Broom C.Zahraj P. (3)2 : 0
    13Boitan G. A. (8)Banerjee S.2 : 0
    14Ilagan A.Arseneault N.2 : 1
    15Poling K. (Q)Chan D. (WC)0 : 2
    16Ghibaudo A.Chidekh C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Draxl L. (1)McCormick T.2 : 1
    2Kasnikowski M.Mmoh M. (RET.) (7)1 : 1
    3Glinka D. (4)Kim J.2 : 1
    4Martin D.Rice K.2 : 1
    5Trotter J. K. (5)Wessels L.1 : 2
    6Milavsky D.Broom C.1 : 2
    7Boitan G. A. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    8Chan D.Ghibaudo A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Draxl L. (1)Kasnikowski M.0 : 2
    2Glinka D. (4)Martin D.2 : 1
    3Wessels L.Broom C.1 : 2
    4Boitan G. A. (8)Chan D.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kasnikowski M.Glinka D. (4)0 : 2
    2Broom C.Chan D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Glinka D. (4)Chan D.2 : 0