Karl Poling vs Garrett Johns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/01/2026 at 17:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	6
Double Faults
2	2
1st serve percentage
66%	64%
1st serve points won
57% (30/53)	68% (32/47)
2nd serve points won
52% (14/27)	54% (14/26)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)	86% (6/7)
1st return points won
32% (15/47)	43% (23/53)
2nd return points won
46% (12/26)	48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)	27% (3/11)
Winners
17	18
Unforced errors
39	29
Net points won
75% (15/20)	71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
55% (44/80)	63% (46/73)
Return Points Won
37% (27/73)	45% (36/80)
Total Points Won
46% (71/153)	54% (82/153)
Last 10 balls
5	5
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
70% (7/10)	90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)	30% (3/10)
Total games won
40% (8/20)	60% (12/20)

Chances of winning

Karl Poling
31.9%

Garrett Johns
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Garrett Johns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Karl Poling - Garrett Johns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.96)		1.41 ↑ (1.36)	3.8% (7.6%)

Preview Facts

Poling is ranked ATP: 605. Johns is ranked ATP: 300.
Poling is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Johns has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Poling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Johns is a strong favorite.
Recently, the players have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Karl Poling won against Garrett Johns?

Karl Poling has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Garrett Johns won against Karl Poling?

Garrett Johns has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Karl Poling - Garrett Johns were as follows:

Latest results of Karl Poling

27.01.2026 Karl Poling - Quinn Vandecasteele 2:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Karl Poling - Keenan Mayo 2:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Karl Poling - William Grant 0:2 ✺

15.01.2026 Luca Pow - Karl Poling 0:2 ✺

14.01.2026 Karl Poling - Ezekiel Clark 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Garrett Johns

16.01.2026 Garrett Johns - Lukas Pokorny 1:2 ✺

15.01.2026 Garrett Johns - Kousuke Ogura 2:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Garrett Johns - Yoan Naydenov 2:0 ✺

08.01.2026 Garrett Johns - Alaa Trifi 1:2 ✺

07.01.2026 Garrett Johns - Goncalo Marques 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/16-finals

1	Korda S. (1)	Milavsky D.	2 : 0
2	Lechno-Wasiutynski F. (Q)	Ilagan A.	0 : 2
3	Braswell M. (Alt)	Svajda T.	0 : 2
4	Cassone M.	Draxl L. (6)	0 : 2
5	Kypson P. (3)	Zink T.	2 : 0
6	Poling K. (Q)	Johns G.	0 : 2
7	Rybakov A.	Bicknell B. (Alt)	0 : 2
8	Langmo C.	Smith C. (7)	0 : 2
9	Boyer T. (8)	Samuel T.	1 : 2
10	Krueger M.	Stebe C.	2 : 0
11	Perot R. (Alt)	Smith K. (Alt)	0 : 2
12	Zhu E. (Q)	Svajda Z. (4)	0 : 2
13	Shimabukuro S. (5)	Kozlov S.	2 : 1
14	Fenty A. (Alt)	Artnak B. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Tomic B.	Corwin F. (Q)	2 : 0
16	Dostanic S. (Q)	Hijikata R. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Korda S. (1)	Ilagan A.	2 : 1
2	Svajda T.	Draxl L. (6)	0 : 2
3	Kypson P. (3)	Johns G.	2 : 0
4	Bicknell B.	Smith C. (7)	1 : 2
5	Samuel T.	Krueger M.	0 : 2
6	Smith K.	Svajda Z. (4)	0 : 2
7	Shimabukuro S. (5)	Fenty A.	2 : 1
8	Tomic B.	Hijikata R. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Korda S. (1)	Draxl L. (6)	2 : 0
2	Kypson P. (3)	Smith C. (7)	2 : 0
3	Krueger M.	Svajda Z. (4)	1 : 2
4	Shimabukuro S. (5)	Hijikata R. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Korda S. (1)	Kypson P. (3)	2 : 0
2	Svajda Z. (4)	Shimabukuro S. (5)	2 : 0

Final

1

Korda S. (1)

Svajda Z. (4)

0 : 2