Karl Poling vs Joshua Sheehy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lincoln Challenger Men 2025 Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy
Result
2:1
12/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
39
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
59%54%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (36/44)73% (33/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)59% (23/39)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
31% (14/45)18% (8/44)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (16/39)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
72% (54/75)67% (56/84)
Return Points Won
33% (28/84)28% (21/75)
Total Points Won
52% (82/159)48% (77/159)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
43%
Joshua Sheehy
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Joshua Sheehy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Sheehy than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.07)

    1.63
    (1.65)
    7.5%
    (8.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 651. Sheehy is ranked ATP: 611.
    • Poling has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sheehy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sheehy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poling won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy were as follows:
    11.07.2023 Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy 2:1
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Latest results of Joshua Sheehy