Joshua Sheehy vs Karl Poling – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
142
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
46%56%
1st serve points won
76% (31/41)66% (38/58)
2nd serve points won
58% (28/48)53% (24/45)
Break Points Saved
89% (8/9)83% (5/6)
1st return points won
36% (21/58)24% (10/41)
2nd return points won
47% (21/45)42% (20/48)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)11% (1/9)
Winners
2719
Unforced errors
4142
Net points won
63% (5/8)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
67% (59/88)60% (61/101)
Return Points Won
40% (40/101)33% (29/88)
Total Points Won
52% (99/189)48% (90/189)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
92% (11/12)92% (11/12)
Return games won
8% (1/12)8% (1/12)
Total games won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Joshua Sheehy
56.7%
Karl Poling
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 52.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joshua Sheehy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joshua Sheehy's performance.
  • Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karl Poling might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joshua Sheehy than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joshua Sheehy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karl Poling could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joshua Sheehy - Karl Poling Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.99)

    2.15
    (1.74)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Joshua Sheehy - Karl Poling?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Joshua Sheehy will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joshua Sheehy will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sheehy is ranked ATP: 678. Poling is ranked ATP: 562.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sheehy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sheehy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Joshua Sheehy - Karl Poling were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy 2:1
    11.07.2023 Karl Poling - Joshua Sheehy 2:1
    Latest results of Joshua Sheehy
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Martin D.0 : 2
    2Milavsky D.Bigun K. (WC)2 : 0
    3Sheehy J. (Q)Poling K. (WC)2 : 0
    4Ilagan A.Martin A. (6)1 : 2
    5Boyer T. (3)Johns G.2 : 0
    6Kennedy J. (JR)Gojo B.0 : 2
    7Battle L. (WC)Boulais J. (Q)0 : 2
    8Vandecasteele Q. (Q)Cassone M. (5)2 : 0
    9Kozlov S. (7)Stebe C.2 : 1
    10Perot R.Hara Friend J. D. (Alt)2 : 1
    11Zink T.Smith K.1 : 2
    12Ghibaudo A.Tomic B. (4)2 : 0
    13Rybakov A. (8)Langmo C.0 : 2
    14Kuhar M. (Q)Dostanic S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Shah A.Jones B. (Q)1 : 2
    16Kingsley C.Smith C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Milavsky D.0 : 2
    2Sheehy J.Martin A. (6)2 : 0
    3Boyer T. (3)Gojo B.0 : 2
    4Boulais J.Vandecasteele Q.0 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Perot R.2 : 1
    6Smith K.Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    7Langmo C.Dostanic S.1 : 2
    8Jones B.Smith C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Milavsky D.Sheehy J.1 : 2
    2Gojo B.Vandecasteele Q.2 : 0
    3Kozlov S. (7)Smith K.0 : 2
    4Dostanic S.Smith C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sheehy J.Gojo B.0 : 2
    2Smith K.Smith C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Gojo B.Smith C. (2)0 : 2