Karl Poling vs Karlis Ozolins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/02/2026 at 20:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
69%57%
1st serve points won
57% (21/37)79% (22/28)
2nd serve points won
59% (10/17)67% (14/21)
Break Points Saved
27% (3/11)0% (0/5)
1st return points won
21% (6/28)43% (16/37)
2nd return points won
33% (7/21)41% (7/17)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)73% (8/11)
Winners
1321
Unforced errors
2317
Net points won
50% (5/10)92% (11/12)
Service Points Won
27% (13/49)43% (23/54)
Return Points Won
57% (31/54)73% (36/49)
Total Points Won
43% (44/103)57% (59/103)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Return games won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
47.7%
Karlis Ozolins
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Karlis Ozolins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlis Ozolins than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Karl Poling - Karlis Ozolins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2)

    1.78
    (1.72)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Karl Poling - Karlis Ozolins?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poling will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ozolins will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Poling (votes: 2 - 50%). Ozolins (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 562. Ozolins is ranked ATP: 960.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Latest results of Karlis Ozolins
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ozolins K. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ghibaudo A.Kennedy J. (JR)0 : 2
    3Perot R.Corwin F. (Q)2 : 1
    4Milavsky D.Smith K. (8)2 : 0
    5Martin A. (3)Kingsley C.0 : 2
    6Arutiunian E.Jones B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Ilagan A.Gima S.2 : 0
    8Langmo C.Johns G. (5)2 : 0
    9Schachter N. (Q)Pieczkowski O.0 : 2
    10Vandecasteele Q. (WC)Forbes M. (WC)2 : 0
    11McCormick T.Strombachs R.0 : 2
    12Dostanic S. (Q)George B. T. (LL)2 : 0
    13Zink T. (7)Azkara A. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Fishback R. (Q)Shick B. (WC)1 : 2
    15Boulais J. (Alt)Bicknell B.1 : 2
    16Loncarevic A. (Q)Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Kennedy J.2 : 0
    2Perot R.Milavsky D.1 : 2
    3Kingsley C.Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    4Ilagan A.Langmo C.2 : 0
    5Pieczkowski O.Vandecasteele Q.2 : 0
    6Strombachs R.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    7Zink T. (7)Shick B.0 : 2
    8Bicknell B.Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Milavsky D.2 : 0
    2Kingsley C.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Pieczkowski O.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    4Shick B.Andrade A. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    2Dostanic S.Andrade A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (1)Dostanic S.0 : 2