Karl Poling vs Nicolas Arseneault – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Laval Men Karl Poling - Nicolas Arseneault
Result
0:2
03/07/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Laval, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
37

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
52.3%
Nicolas Arseneault
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karl Poling's performance.
  • Nicolas Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Arseneault might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karl Poling that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Arseneault could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Karl Poling - Nicolas Arseneault Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.98)

    1.95
    (1.72)
    7.6%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 552. Arseneault is ranked ATP: 714.
    • Poling is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arseneault is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Arseneault may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Arseneault will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Langmo C. (1)Arseneault M.2 : 0
    2Bergeron A.Rice K.0 : 2
    3Bicknell B.Finkelstein A.2 : 0
    4George B. T.Martin D. (7)0 : 2
    5Tudorica A. N. (3)Kuhar M.0 : 2
    6Cook E.Chan D.1 : 2
    7Woestendick C.Farag-Cao A.2 : 0
    8Kuzmenok P.Miyoshi K. (5)0 : 2
    9Poling K. (6)Muamba N.2 : 0
    10Arseneault N.Ayeni A.2 : 1
    11Thomson M.Clark E.1 : 2
    12Rozin S.McHugh A. (4)0 : 2
    13Saitoh K. (8)Milavsky D.0 : 2
    14Ogura K.Krall L.1 : 2
    15Boulais J.Jones B.2 : 1
    16Donarski S.Johns G. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Langmo C. (1)Rice K.1 : 2
    2Bicknell B.Martin D. (RET.) (7)1 : 0
    3Kuhar M.Chan D.0 : 2
    4Woestendick C.Miyoshi K. (5)2 : 0
    5Poling K. (6)Arseneault N.0 : 2
    6Clark E.McHugh A. (4)1 : 2
    7Milavsky D.Krall L.2 : 0
    8Boulais J.Johns G. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Rice K.Bicknell B.0 : 2
    2Chan D.Woestendick C.0 : 2
    3Arseneault N.McHugh A. (4)0 : 2
    4Milavsky D.Boulais J.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bicknell B.Woestendick C.2 : 0
    2McHugh A. (4)Boulais J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Bicknell B.Boulais J.2 : 1