Karl Poling vs Oscar Weightman – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Newport Challenger Men Karl Poling - Oscar Weightman
Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 12:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
411
Double Faults
27
1st Serve Percentage
73%50%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (48/67)79% (46/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (16/25)51% (30/59)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/58)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (29/59)36% (9/25)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)100% (2/2)
Winners
2635
Unforced Errors
3858
Net Points Won
80% (16/20)71% (24/34)
Service Points Won
70% (64/92)65% (76/117)
Return Points Won
35% (41/117)30% (28/92)
Total Points Won
50% (105/209)50% (104/209)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
38.8%
Oscar Weightman
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karl Poling's form might have worsened.
  • Oscar Weightman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oscar Weightman's recent form is better than expected.
  • Karl Poling - Oscar Weightman Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (1.57)

    1.52
    (2.25)
    7.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Karl Poling - Oscar Weightman?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Weightman (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Oscar Weightman will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 552. Weightman is ranked ATP: 1024.
    • Poling is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Poling will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Latest results of Oscar Weightman
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Cassone M.2 : 0
    2Vandecasteele Q. (Q)Svajda Z.0 : 2
    3Poling K. (Alt)Weightman O. (Q)1 : 2
    4Jasika O.Watanuki Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Bolt A.2 : 0
    6McCabe J.Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Martin D. (Alt)Mayo A.1 : 2
    8Zhu E. (WC)Spizzirri E. (5)0 : 2
    9Eubanks C. (6)Milavsky D. (WC)2 : 1
    10Zheng M. (WC)Tomic B.0 : 2
    11Hilderbrand T. (Q)Zink T.1 : 2
    12Uchiyama Y.Mannarino A. (4)0 : 2
    13Krueger M. (7)Kozlov S. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Kypson P.Ghibaudo A. (Q)0 : 2
    15McCormick T. (Q)Watt J. (LL)0 : 2
    16Maloney P.Duckworth J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Svajda Z.1 : 2
    2Weightman O.Watanuki Y. (8)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Mayo A.Spizzirri E. (5)0 : 2
    5Eubanks C. (6)Tomic B.0 : 2
    6Zink T.Mannarino A. (4)0 : 2
    7Krueger M. (7)Ghibaudo A.1 : 2
    8Watt J.Maloney P.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Svajda Z.Watanuki Y. (8)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Spizzirri E. (5)1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Mannarino A. (4)1 : 2
    4Ghibaudo A.Watt J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Svajda Z.Spizzirri E. (5)2 : 0
    2Mannarino A. (4)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Svajda Z.Mannarino A. (4)2 : 0