Karl Poling vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sarasota Challenger Men Karl Poling - Petr Nesterov
Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
56%65%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (28/40)74% (32/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (16/32)65% (15/23)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (11/43)33% (13/40)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (8/23)50% (16/32)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
61% (43/71)71% (46/65)
Return Points Won
29% (19/65)39% (28/71)
Total Points Won
46% (62/136)54% (74/136)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
35.6%
Petr Nesterov
64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Karl Poling have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Petr Nesterov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Karl Poling - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.6)

    1.44
    (1.44)
    8.2%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 610. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 443.
    • Recent matches Poling is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nesterov is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nesterov will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Spizzirri E. (1)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    2Sell K. (RET.) (Alt)Robertson C.0 : 0
    3Cassone M.Erhard M. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Denolly C. (LL)Blancaneaux G. (LL)0 : 2
    5Barrios Vera T. (4)Olivieri G. A. (Q)2 : 0
    6Mmoh M. (Alt)Dutra Da Silva D. (Q)2 : 0
    7Zink T. (WC)Boitan G. A. (Q)0 : 2
    8Rodesch C.Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    9Draxl L. (7)Bueno G.2 : 0
    10Damm M. (WC)Maloney P. (Q)1 : 2
    11Prado Angelo J. C. (Q)Andrade A.0 : 2
    12Schwaerzler J. J.Krueger M. (3)0 : 2
    13Mena F. (8)Jianu F. C.1 : 2
    14Wu Tung-LinLajal M.1 : 2
    15Vallejo D.Montes-De La Torre I. (Q)0 : 2
    16Johns G. (WC)Gomez F. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Spizzirri E. (1)Robertson C.2 : 0
    2Erhard M.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    3Barrios Vera T. (4)Mmoh M.2 : 1
    4Boitan G. A.Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    5Draxl L. (7)Maloney P.2 : 1
    6Andrade A.Krueger M. (3)2 : 0
    7Jianu F. C.Lajal M.2 : 1
    8Montes-De La Torre I.Gomez F. A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Spizzirri E. (1)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    2Barrios Vera T. (4)Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    3Draxl L. (7)Andrade A.2 : 0
    4Jianu F. C.Gomez F. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Spizzirri E. (1)Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    2Draxl L. (7)Gomez F. A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Nava E. (5)Draxl L. (7)2 : 0