Karl Poling vs Quinn Vandecasteele – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
08
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
77%60%
1st serve points won
68% (39/57)67% (30/45)
2nd serve points won
29% (5/17)30% (9/30)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)44% (4/9)
1st return points won
33% (15/45)35% (20/57)
2nd return points won
70% (21/30)71% (12/17)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)57% (4/7)
Winners
1817
Unforced errors
4352
Net points won
89% (8/9)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
59% (44/74)52% (39/75)
Return Points Won
48% (36/75)41% (30/74)
Total Points Won
54% (80/149)46% (69/149)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
64% (7/11)55% (6/11)
Return games won
45% (5/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
27.8%
Quinn Vandecasteele
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 73.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Karl Poling - Quinn Vandecasteele Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.49)

    1.29
    (1.27)
    7.2%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 605. Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 664.
    • Poling has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vandecasteele is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Latest results of Quinn Vandecasteele
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Korda S. (1)Milavsky D.2 : 0
    2Lechno-Wasiutynski F. (Q)Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Braswell M. (Alt)Svajda T.0 : 2
    4Cassone M.Draxl L. (6)0 : 2
    5Kypson P. (3)Zink T.2 : 0
    6Poling K. (Q)Johns G.0 : 2
    7Rybakov A.Bicknell B. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Langmo C.Smith C. (7)0 : 2
    9Boyer T. (8)Samuel T.1 : 2
    10Krueger M.Stebe C.2 : 0
    11Perot R. (Alt)Smith K. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Zhu E. (Q)Svajda Z. (4)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (5)Kozlov S.2 : 1
    14Fenty A. (Alt)Artnak B. (Q)2 : 0
    15Tomic B.Corwin F. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dostanic S. (Q)Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Korda S. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    2Svajda T.Draxl L. (6)0 : 2
    3Kypson P. (3)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Bicknell B.Smith C. (7)1 : 2
    5Samuel T.Krueger M.0 : 2
    6Smith K.Svajda Z. (4)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (5)Fenty A.2 : 1
    8Tomic B.Hijikata R. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Korda S. (1)Draxl L. (6)2 : 0
    2Kypson P. (3)Smith C. (7)2 : 0
    3Krueger M.Svajda Z. (4)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (5)Hijikata R. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Korda S. (1)Kypson P. (3)2 : 0
    2Svajda Z. (4)Shimabukuro S. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Korda S. (1)Svajda Z. (4)0 : 2