Karl Poling vs Roger Pascual Ferra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Norman, OK, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
82

Chances of winning


Karl Poling
37.3%
Roger Pascual Ferra
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Roger Pascual Ferra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roger Pascual Ferra than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Karl Poling - Roger Pascual Ferra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.24)

    1.48
    (1.59)
    7.8%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poling is ranked ATP: 637. Pascual Ferra is ranked ATP: 768.
    • Poling has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pascual Ferra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pascual Ferra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pascual Ferra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Pascual Ferra will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Searle H. (1)Corwin F.2 : 0
    2Melero K. A.Forbes M.0 : 2
    3Bigun K.Magadan A.2 : 0
    4Kimhi O.Rodriguez J. A. (8)2 : 1
    5Alvarez Valdes L. C. (4)Harazaki A.0 : 2
    6Goncalves V.Young G.0 : 2
    7Pham D.Mitsui S.0 : 2
    8Peck J.Martinez A. (7)0 : 2
    9Perot R. (5)Ciric A.2 : 1
    10Gorzny S.Petrovic A.2 : 0
    11Poling K.Trondson H.2 : 0
    12Pascual Ferra R.McKennon M. (3)2 : 0
    13Bicknell B. (6)Braswell M. (RET.)0 : 0
    14Bondaz M.King D.2 : 1
    15Jankanj V.Rodrigues P.1 : 2
    16Lacides O.Milavsky D. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Searle H. (1)Forbes M.1 : 2
    2Bigun K.Kimhi O.2 : 1
    3Harazaki A.Young G.2 : 0
    4Mitsui S.Martinez A. (7)1 : 2
    5Perot R. (5)Gorzny S.2 : 0
    6Poling K.Pascual Ferra R.2 : 0
    7Bicknell B. (6)Bondaz M.2 : 1
    8Rodrigues P.Lacides O.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Forbes M.Bigun K.2 : 0
    2Harazaki A.Martinez A. (7)1 : 2
    3Perot R. (5)Poling K.2 : 1
    4Bicknell B. (6)Rodrigues P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Forbes M.Martinez A. (7)2 : 1
    2Perot R. (5)Bicknell B. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Forbes M.Perot R. (5)1 : 2