Team TG vs Karlberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Norra - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenEttan Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Mbye M. , Rydell A. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Wolf-Watz M. , Carrick E. (A),
  • 24', Carrick E. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Dudziak K. , Rydell A. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Dudziak K. , Rupia-Ellis A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mossnelid A. 🟨,
  • 61', Mossnelid A. , Rafael T. ,
  • 61', Naslund P. , Junghagen Pliatsikas A. ,
  • 67', Rydell A. , Othman R. ,
  • 67', Geiger N. , Negash N. ,
  • 72', 1 - 4, Rupia-Ellis A. , Khan A. (A),
  • 76', Mbye M. , Muyenga A. ,
  • 76', Dudziak K. , Sietsema L. ,
  • 79', 2 - 4, Kamf V. , Afshari T. (A),
  • 80', Berglin W. , Nihorimbere L. ,
  • 80', Lindgren T. , Haglund N. ,
  • 80', Naslund A. , Mumand H. ,
  • 83', Khan A. , Allard J. ,
  • 90+7', Hellgren I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Team TG
11.6%
Draw
17.7%
Karlberg
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.7% 22.9% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 22.1% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Team TG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Team TG's form might have worsened.
  • Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlberg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Team TG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Team TG - Karlberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.23
    (4.92)
    5.4
    (4.03)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    4.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Team TG - Karlberg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Team TG (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Team TG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Team TG has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Karlberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Karlberg is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Karlberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Team TG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Team TG - Karlberg were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Karlberg - Team TG 1:1
    Latest results of Team TG
    14.09.2025 Team TG - Enköping 2:3
    07.09.2025 Team TG - Vasalund 0:5
    31.08.2025 Stocksund - Team TG 3:1
    24.08.2025 Hammarby TFF - Team TG 2:1
    Latest results of Karlberg
    20.09.2025 Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna 4:2
    13.09.2025 Karlstad - Karlberg 1:0
    06.09.2025 Karlberg - Stocksund 3:2
    30.08.2025 Karlberg - Haninge 3:1
    24.08.2025 Enköping - Karlberg 4:2
    Swedish Division 1 Norra Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arlanda541012:3913
    2FBK Karlstad54019:4512
    3Karlstad54017:4312
    4Hammarby TFF531113:7610
    5Karlbergs530210:1009
    6Enkoping SK530210:13-39
    7Stockholm Internazionale52216:338
    8Sollentuna52214:318
    9Gefle520310:11-16
    10Umea FC52035:9-46
    11Assyriska FF51229:905
    12Vasalund51229:10-15
    13Jarfalla51226:7-15
    14Stocksund502310:14-42
    15AFC Eskilstuna50238:13-52
    16Pitea50053:11-80

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          Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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