Jarun Zagreb vs Karlovac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Prva NL - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
00
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
78
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Luetic K. ,
  • 35', Reyvandi A. 🟨,
  • 45', Jug P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Zuljevic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ereiz D. , Budimir J. ,
  • 46', Mionic A. , Kapulica L. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Luetic K. ,
  • 57', Mrkela P. , Gaspar M. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Gaspar M. ,
  • 61', Mamic I. , Buzic M. ,
  • 66', Cilic V. 🟨,
  • 67', Cilic V. , Al Ghoul H. ,
  • 67', Reyvandi A. , Matijevic V. ,
  • 70', Zilinski F. , Brekalo F. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Luetic K. ,

Chances of winning


Jarun Zagreb
25.5%
Draw
29.7%
Karlovac
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 29.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 29.6% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jarun Zagreb's form might have worsened.
  • Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlovac's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jarun Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlovac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jarun Zagreb - Karlovac Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (2.95)
    3.08
    (3.06)
    2.11
    (2.34)
    8.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Prva NL (Relegation) and 2).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Karlovac might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jarun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jarun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jarun Zagreb - Karlovac were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Karlovac - Jarun Zagreb 2:0
    Latest results of Jarun Zagreb
    19.10.2025 Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava 1:1
    04.10.2025 Orijent - Jarun Zagreb 1:0
    27.09.2025 Jarun Zagreb - Cibalia 2:1
    20.09.2025 Sesvete - Jarun Zagreb 1:0
    Latest results of Karlovac
    18.10.2025 Orijent - Karlovac 1:1
    11.10.2025 Karlovac - Cibalia 0:1
    03.10.2025 Karlovac - Sesvete 0:1
    26.09.2025 Karlovac - Opatija 1:1
    21.09.2025 Bijelo Brdo - Karlovac 0:2
    Croatian Prva NL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rudes20115425:19638
    2Cibalia20105526:17935
    3Dugopolje20104622:17534
    4Sesvete2088419:12732
    5Karlovac2093828:22630
    6Dubrava2085719:21-229
    7Bijelo Brdo2075821:18326
    8Orijent2058724:23123
    9Opatija2056914:26-1221
    10Croatia Zmijavci20551019:26-720
    11Hrvace20551020:29-920
    12Jarun2047920:27-719

          Promotion ~ HNL
          Prva NL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Druga NL