Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (388/463) | 84% (439/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (388/463) | 84% (439/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (38/68) | 68% (99/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', Bernat C. 🟨,
- 12', Therkelsen J. (Pen),
- 25', 1 - 0, Kapralik A. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
- 32', Egloff L. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Zec D. ⚽, Tolkin J. (A),
- 42', Knudsen M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Zec D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
- 46', Davidsen K. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 50', Kobald C. 🟨,
- 55', Wagner R. 🟨,
- 62', Muller A. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
- 62', Kobald C. ↓, Beifus M. ↑,
- 66', Therkelsen J. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
- 66', Muller M. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 69', Rapp N. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 69', Schleusener F. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Harres P. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
- 74', Tolkin J. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 74', Komenda M. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
- 78', Ivezic M. 🟨,
- 86', Kapralik A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
60.4% | Draw
23.5% | Karlsruher
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel's performance.Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlsruher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlsruher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.16) |
5.01 ↑
(3.74) |
7.61 ↑
(3.11) |
-13.3%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Holstein Kiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karlsruher: Duhring M. N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Karlsruher?
Holstein Kiel has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Holstein Kiel?
Karlsruher has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher were as follows:
09.03.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Karlsruher
1:0
30.09.2023
Karlsruher
-
Holstein Kiel
0:2
13.05.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Karlsruher
2:1
05.11.2022
Karlsruher
-
Holstein Kiel
1:4
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Karlsruher
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Hannover | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Paderborn | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Dusseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Hertha Berlin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Bochum | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
