Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 4 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 2.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
75% (233/309) | 87% (395/453) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 2.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.04 | 2.29 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
75% (233/309) | 87% (395/453) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (26/61) | 50% (20/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (46/86) | 78% (109/139) |
Crosses |
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37% (7/19) | 13% (3/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.82 | 2.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
74% (17/23) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
40 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
9 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.29 | 2.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.29 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 44', 1 - 0, Schleusener F. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Koudossou H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Biron M. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 62', Simic R. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
- 62', Muller A. ↓, Beifus M. ↑,
- 73', Egloff L. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
- 73', Schleusener F. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
- 81', Demba P. ↓, Markhiev A. ↑,
- 81', Zoma M. A. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
- 83', Burnic D. 🟨,
- 83', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karlsruher 45.8% | Draw 26.6% | Nürnberg 27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Karlsruher - Nürnberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↑ (2) |
3.58 ↓ (3.8) |
3.47 ↓ (3.78) |
5.2% (2.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Karlsruher - Nürnberg?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3.
- Karlsruher is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nürnberg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Karlsruher might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T.
(Foot Injury)
Maboulou N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nürnberg: Mustapha H.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- We predict that Karlsruher will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Nürnberg?
Karlsruher has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Karlsruher?
Nürnberg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karlsruher - Nürnberg were as follows:
19.01.2025
Nürnberg
-
Karlsruher
2:1
03.08.2024
Karlsruher
-
Nürnberg
3:2
28.04.2024
Nürnberg
-
Karlsruher
0:1
26.11.2023
Karlsruher
-
Nürnberg
4:1
08.04.2023
Nürnberg
-
Karlsruher
1:1
Latest results of Karlsruher
Latest results of Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Darmstadt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Paderborn | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
5 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Hannover | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
9 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Preussen Munster | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Braunschweig | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Dusseldorf | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
14 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Nurnberg | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
17 | Bochum | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga