Karolina Muchova vs Elina Svitolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Miami Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina
Result
1:2
23/03/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
53%64%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)67% (35/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (19/40)55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (13/29)53% (21/40)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
58% (50/86)63% (51/81)
Return Points Won
37% (30/81)42% (36/86)
Total Points Won
48% (80/167)52% (87/167)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
40% (10/25)60% (15/25)

Chances of winning


Karolina Muchova
51.5%
Elina Svitolina
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.73)

    1.95
    (2.1)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Svitolina will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 48.9%84.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muchova is ranked WTA: 14. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 22.
    • Recent matches Muchova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Svitolina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Muchova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Muchova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Latest results of Elina Svitolina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Tomova V.McNally C.2 : 1
    3Ruse G. (Q)Kudermetova P.2 : 1
    4ByeFrech M. (29)
    5Vekic D. (21)Bye
    6Masarova R. (Q)Minnen G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Cirstea S.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    8ByeCollins D. (14)
    9Zheng Q. (9)Bye
    10Davis L.Ito A. (Q)2 : 1
    11Townsend T. (Q)Li A.2 : 1
    12ByePutintseva Y. (19)
    13Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    14Gracheva V.Parks A.1 : 2
    15Zarazua R.Krueger A.0 : 2
    16ByeRybakina E. (7)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Kvitova P. (WC)Kenin S.0 : 2
    19Bouzas Maneiro J.Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    20ByeSakkari M. (28)
    21Alexandrova E. (18)Bye
    22Pavlyuchenkova A.Linette M.0 : 2
    23Liu C. (Q)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)1 : 2
    24ByeHaddad Maia B. (16)
    25Kasatkina D. (12)Bye
    26Danilovic O.Baptiste H. (WC)1 : 2
    27Osaka N.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)2 : 1
    28ByeSamsonova L. (24)
    29Jabeur O. (31)Bye
    30Yuan Y.Siniakova K.1 : 2
    31Stefanini L. (Q)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    32ByePaolini J. (6)
    33Navarro E. (8)Bye
    34Ishii S. (WC)Raducanu E.0 : 2
    35Kessler M.Bouzkova M.2 : 1
    36ByeNoskova L. (30)
    37Anisimova A. (17)Bye
    38Sherif M.Sun L.2 : 1
    39Kudermetova V.Wang Xin.2 : 0
    40ByeAndreeva M. (11)
    41Shnaider D. (13)Bye
    42Rakhimova K.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    43Potapova A.Birrell K. (Q/LL)1 : 2
    44ByeKostyuk M. (23)
    45Kalinskaya A. (32)Bye
    46Lamens S.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    47Tomljanovic A. (WC)Pera B. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByePegula J. (4)
    49Keys M. (5)Bye
    50Andreeva E. (WC)Avanesyan E.1 : 2
    51Eala A. (WC)Volynets K.2 : 0
    52ByeOstapenko J. (25)
    53Tauson C. (20)Bye
    54Grant T. C. (WC)Grabher J.0 : 2
    55Osorio C.Mboko V. (WC)1 : 2
    56ByeBadosa P. (10)
    57Muchova K. (15)Bye
    58Kalinina A.Azarenka V.0 : 2
    59Yastremska D.Bencic B.1 : 2
    60ByeSvitolina E. (22)
    61Mertens E. (27)Bye
    62Boulter K.Stearns P.0 : 2
    63Garcia C.Bondar A. (Q)2 : 0
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tomova V.2 : 0
    2Ruse G.Frech M. (29)2 : 0
    3Vekic D. (21)Masarova R.0 : 2
    4Cirstea S.Collins D. (14)0 : 2
    5Zheng Q. (9)Davis L.2 : 0
    6Townsend T.Putintseva Y. (19)2 : 1
    7Fernandez L. (26)Parks A.2 : 0
    8Krueger A.Rybakina E. (7)2 : 1
    9Gauff C. (3)Kenin S.2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Sakkari M. (28)1 : 2
    11Alexandrova E. (18)Linette M.0 : 2
    12Fruhvirtova L.Haddad Maia B. (16)2 : 0
    13Kasatkina D. (12)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    14Osaka N.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    15Jabeur O. (31)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    16Sramkova R.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    17Navarro E. (8)Raducanu E.1 : 2
    18Kessler M.Noskova L. (30)2 : 1
    19Anisimova A. (17)Sherif M.2 : 0
    20Kudermetova V.Andreeva M. (11)0 : 2
    21Shnaider D. (13)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    22Birrell K.Kostyuk M. (23)1 : 2
    23Kalinskaya A. (32)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    24Pera B.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    25Keys M. (5)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    26Eala A.Ostapenko J. (25)2 : 0
    27Tauson C. (20)Grabher J.2 : 0
    28Mboko V.Badosa P. (10)1 : 2
    29Muchova K. (15)Azarenka V. (RET.)1 : 0
    30Bencic B.Svitolina E. (22)0 : 2
    31Mertens E. (27)Stearns P.2 : 0
    32Garcia C.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ruse G. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Masarova R.Collins D. (14)1 : 2
    3Zheng Q. (9)Townsend T.2 : 0
    4Fernandez L. (26)Krueger A.0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Sakkari M. (28)2 : 0
    6Linette M.Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Baptiste H.Osaka N.1 : 2
    8Jabeur O. (RET.) (31)Paolini J. (6)0 : 0
    9Raducanu E.Kessler M. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Anisimova A. (17)Andreeva M. (11)2 : 1
    11Blinkova A.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    12Kalinskaya A. (32)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    13Keys M. (5)Eala A.0 : 2
    14Tauson C. (20)Badosa P. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (15)Svitolina E. (22)1 : 2
    16Mertens E. (27)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Collins D. (14)2 : 0
    2Zheng Q. (9)Krueger A.2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (3)Linette M.0 : 2
    4Osaka N.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    5Raducanu E.Anisimova A. (17)2 : 0
    6Kostyuk M. (23)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Eala A. (WO.)Badosa P. (10)
    8Svitolina E. (22)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (9)2 : 0
    2Linette M.Paolini J. (6)0 : 2
    3Raducanu E.Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Eala A.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    2Pegula J. (4)Eala A.2 : 1

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)2 : 0