Jessica Pegula vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova
Result
2:1
05/09/2024 at 20:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 3, SporTV 3
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicEurosport 1
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1
finlandFinlandDiscovery+, Eurosport 1
franceFranceEurosport 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
hungaryHungaryEurosport 1
italyItalyEurosport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsEurosport 1
norwayNorwayEurosport 1
polandPolandEurosport 1
portugalPortugalEurosport 1
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1
spainSpainEurosport 1
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, Eurosport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
usaUsaESPN USA
worldWorldEurosport 1

Match Stats

Aces
16
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
67%62%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (34/59)64% (34/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)42% (14/33)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
36% (19/53)42% (25/59)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (19/33)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)36% (4/11)
Winners
1734
Unforced Errors
2240
Net Points Won
48% (11/23)61% (22/36)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
56% (49/88)56% (48/86)
Return Points Won
44% (38/86)44% (39/88)
Total Points Won
50% (87/174)50% (87/174)
Max Games In Row
57
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)
Distance Covered (metres)
31863452

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
58.7%
Karolina Muchova
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.61)

    2.32
    (2.34)
    4.1%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 14 - 40%). Muchova will win (votes: 21 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 43.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Muchova is ranked WTA: 52.
    • During last matches two players got success in matches and won.
    • Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.62.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova 2:1
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    2025

    Quarter-finals
    1Jones F. (1)Hruncakova V.2 : 0
    2Watson H.Gorgodze E.1 : 2
    3Sanchez A. S.Hartono A.1 : 2
    4Koevermans A.Gadecki O. (19)1 : 2
    5Valentova T. (2)Barthel M.2 : 0
    6Prozorova T.Trevisan M.2 : 0
    7Burrage J.Tig P. M.2 : 0
    8Martinez Cirez C.Rus A. (18)0 : 2
    9Ito A. (3)Friedsam A-L.2 : 1
    10Maristany G.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.2 : 0
    11Pedone G.Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    12Tjen J.Lepchenko V. (22)2 : 0
    13Galfi D. (4)Urhobo A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Crawley F. (WC)Chirico L.2 : 0
    15Nahimana S.Leonard M.0 : 2
    16Ormaechea P.Udvardy P. (29)0 : 2
    17Tomova V. (5)Burillo Escorihuela I.2 : 0
    18Stakusic M.Vandewinkel H.0 : 2
    19Niemeier J.Saville D.2 : 0
    20Brancaccio N.Hon P. (27)0 : 2
    21Gracheva V. (6)Brengle M.2 : 0
    22Wuerth T.Rodionova Ar.2 : 0
    23Palicova B.Pridankina E.1 : 2
    24Day K.Shibahara E. (20)0 : 2
    25Volynets K. (7)Costoulas S.2 : 0
    26Honer A. (WC)Osuigwe W.2 : 0
    27Hercog P.Andrianjafitrimo T.1 : 2
    28Fett J.Garland J. (30)2 : 0
    29Bejlek S. (8)Aiava D.1 : 2
    30Mikulskyte J.Okamura K.2 : 0
    31Vickery S.Sobolieva A.2 : 0
    32Deichmann K.Seidel E. (21)0 : 2
    33Zhang S. (9)Stoiana M. (WC)2 : 0
    34Vidmanova D.Iyengar M. (WC)2 : 0
    35Cengiz B.Wei S.0 : 2
    36Naef C.Romero Gormaz L. (23)0 : 2
    37Pera B. (10)Jones E.1 : 2
    38Pigossi L.Zidansek T.2 : 1
    39Sharma A.Radivojevic L.2 : 0
    40Nguyen A. (WC)Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)0 : 2
    41Marcinko P. (11)Gao X.2 : 0
    42Ekstrand M. (WC)Charaeva A.0 : 2
    43Fruhvirtova L.Martic P.0 : 2
    44Branstine C.Wang Xiy. (31)1 : 2
    45Semenistaja D. (12)Lazaro Garcia A.2 : 1
    46Oliynykova O.Cabrera L.0 : 2
    47Korneeva A.Klimovicova L.1 : 2
    48Mandlik E.Ponchet J. (25)0 : 2
    49Todoni A. A. (13)Dart H.1 : 2
    50Vedder E.Akli A. (WC)0 : 2
    51Selekhmeteva O.Riera J.2 : 1
    52Shymanovich I.Kraus S. (26)2 : 1
    53Grabher J. (14)Salkova D.1 : 2
    54Dmitruk K.Juvan K.2 : 0
    55Penickova K. (WC)Hontama M.1 : 2
    56Tararudee L.Marino R. (17)1 : 2
    57Carle M. L. (15)Zhao C.0 : 2
    58Diatchenko V.Stefanini L.0 : 2
    59Davis L.Inoue H.0 : 2
    60Snigur D.Waltert S. (24)1 : 2
    61Kawa K. (16)Liu C.0 : 2
    62Hunter S.Inglis M.0 : 2
    63Brace C.Hibino N.2 : 1
    64Timofeeva M.Erjavec V. (32)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jones F. (1)Gorgodze E.
    2Hartono A.Gadecki O. (19)
    3Valentova T. (2)Prozorova T.
    4Burrage J.Rus A. (18)
    5Ito A. (3)Maristany G.
    6Chwalinska M.Tjen J.
    7Galfi D. (4)Crawley F.
    8Leonard M.Udvardy P. (29)
    9Tomova V. (5)Vandewinkel H.
    10Niemeier J.Hon P. (27)
    11Gracheva V. (6)Wuerth T.
    12Pridankina E.Shibahara E. (20)
    13Volynets K. (7)Honer A.
    14Andrianjafitrimo T.Fett J.
    15Aiava D.Mikulskyte J.
    16Vickery S.Seidel E. (21)
    17Zhang S. (9)Vidmanova D.
    18Wei S.Romero Gormaz L. (23)
    19Jones E.Pigossi L.
    20Sharma A.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)
    21Marcinko P. (11)Charaeva A.
    22Martic P.Wang Xiy. (31)
    23Semenistaja D. (12)Cabrera L.
    24Klimovicova L.Ponchet J. (25)
    25Dart H.Akli A.
    26Selekhmeteva O.Shymanovich I.
    27Salkova D.Dmitruk K.
    28Hontama M.Marino R. (17)
    29Zhao C.Stefanini L.
    30Inoue H.Waltert S. (24)
    31Liu C.Inglis M.
    32Brace C.Erjavec V. (32)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32