Karolina Muchova vs Sorana Cirstea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Beijing Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea
Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
italyItalySuper Tennis
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
65%53%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (24/33)64% (21/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (12/18)45% (13/29)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
45% (15/33)39% (13/33)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (16/29)33% (6/18)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
71% (36/51)51% (31/61)
Return Points Won
49% (30/61)29% (15/51)
Total Points Won
59% (66/112)41% (46/112)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Karolina Muchova
66%
Sorana Cirstea
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karolina Muchova's performance.
  • Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorana Cirstea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.6)

    3.18
    (2.35)
    -3.1%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Cirstea will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karolina Muchova will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muchova is ranked WTA: 15. Cirstea is ranked WTA: 64.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 4.
    • Muchova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cirstea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Muchova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea were as follows:
    28.08.2025 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    20.02.2025 Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea 2:0
    05.09.2023 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    09.08.2023 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    26.03.2023 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 2:0
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Latest results of Sorana Cirstea
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Yuan Y. (WC)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    3Li A.Osorio C.1 : 2
    4ByeKalinskaya A. (28)
    5Samsonova L. (19)Bye
    6Boisson L.Galfi D. (Q)2 : 1
    7Sramkova R.Ruse G.0 : 2
    8ByeNavarro E. (16)
    9Osaka N. (12)Bye
    10Sasnovich A. (Q)Tjen J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Frech M.Seidel E. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeKostyuk M. (23)
    13Raducanu E. (30)Bye
    14Vekic D.Bucsa C. (Q)0 : 2
    15Tomljanovic A.Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    16ByePegula J. (5)
    17Andreeva M. (4)Bye
    18Uchijima M. (Q)Zhu L. (WC)0 : 2
    19Bouzas Maneiro J.Cristian J.2 : 0
    20ByeYastremska D. (29)
    21Shnaider D. (17)Bye
    22Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    23Kartal S.Parks A.2 : 0
    24ByeKasatkina D. (14)
    25Tauson C. (10)Bye
    26Sonmez Z.Wei S. (WC)2 : 0
    27Siniakova K.Potapova A.0 : 2
    28ByeMboko V. (21)
    29Noskova L. (26)Bye
    30Guo H. (WC)Wang Xiy. (WC)0 : 2
    31Lamens S.Arango E. (LL)0 : 2
    32ByeZheng Q. (7)
    33Paolini J. (6)Bye
    34Sevastova A.Birrell K.2 : 0
    35Kudermetova P.Inglis M. (Q)2 : 0
    36ByeKenin S. (27)
    37Kudermetova V. (24)Bye
    38Bondar A. (Q)Andreescu B.2 : 0
    39Maria T.Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    40ByeLinette M. (33)
    41Muchova K. (13)Bye
    42Dolehide C.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Jacquemot E. (Q)Ruzic A.0 : 2
    44ByeBadosa P. (18)
    45Wang Xin. (31)Bye
    46Zakharova A. (Q)Zhang S. (WC)1 : 2
    47Boulter K.Baptiste H.2 : 1
    48ByeAnisimova A. (3)
    49Rybakina E. (8)Bye
    50Siegemund L.McNally C.0 : 2
    51Zhang R. (WC)Lys E.0 : 2
    52ByeJovic I. (32)
    53Mertens E. (20)Bye
    54Kessler M.Shi H. (WC)2 : 0
    55Krejcikova B.Blinkova A.2 : 0
    56ByeAlexandrova E. (9)
    57Bencic B. (15)Bye
    58Volynets K. (Q)Stearns P.2 : 1
    59Hon P. (Q)Golubic V.2 : 1
    60ByeOstapenko J. (22)
    61Fernandez L. (25)Bye
    62Krueger A.Sakkari M.1 : 2
    63Bronzetti L.Rakhimova K.0 : 2
    64ByeGauff C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Yuan Y.2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Kalinskaya A. (28)2 : 1
    3Samsonova L. (19)Boisson L.0 : 2
    4Ruse G.Navarro E. (16)0 : 2
    5Osaka N. (12)Sasnovich A.1 : 2
    6Seidel E.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    7Raducanu E. (30)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    8Tomljanovic A.Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (4)Zhu L.2 : 0
    10Bouzas Maneiro J.Yastremska D. (29)2 : 0
    11Shnaider D. (17)Joint M.0 : 2
    12Kartal S.Kasatkina D. (14)2 : 0
    13Tauson C. (10)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    14Potapova A.Mboko V. (21)2 : 0
    15Noskova L. (26)Wang Xiy.2 : 0
    16Arango E.Zheng Q. (7)0 : 2
    17Paolini J. (6)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    18Kudermetova P.Kenin S. (27)0 : 2
    19Kudermetova V. (24)Bondar A.2 : 0
    20Bouzkova M.Linette M. (33)2 : 0
    21Muchova K. (13)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    22Ruzic A.Badosa P. (18)0 : 2
    23Wang Xin. (31)Zhang S.0 : 2
    24Boulter K.Anisimova A. (3)0 : 2
    25Rybakina E. (8)McNally C.2 : 1
    26Lys E.Jovic I. (32)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (20)Kessler M.0 : 2
    28Krejcikova B.Alexandrova E. (9)2 : 0
    29Bencic B. (15)Volynets K.2 : 0
    30Hon P.Ostapenko J. (22)2 : 0
    31Fernandez L. (25)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    32Rakhimova K.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Boisson L. (RET.)Navarro E. (16)0 : 1
    3Sasnovich A.Kostyuk M. (23)0 : 2
    4Raducanu E. (30)Pegula J. (5)1 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (4)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    6Joint M.Kartal S.0 : 2
    7Sonmez Z.Potapova A.0 : 2
    8Noskova L. (26)Zheng Q. (RET.) (7)1 : 1
    9Paolini J. (6)Kenin S. (27)2 : 0
    10Kudermetova V. (24)Bouzkova M.0 : 2
    11Muchova K. (13)Badosa P. (RET.) (18)0 : 0
    12Zhang S.Anisimova A. (3)0 : 2
    13Rybakina E. (8)Lys E.1 : 2
    14Kessler M.Krejcikova B. (RET.)1 : 1
    15Bencic B. (15)Hon P.2 : 1
    16Fernandez L. (25)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Navarro E. (16)1 : 2
    2Kostyuk M. (23)Pegula J. (5)1 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (4)Kartal S.1 : 2
    4Potapova A.Noskova L. (26)0 : 2
    5Paolini J. (6)Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    6Muchova K. (13)Anisimova A. (3)1 : 2
    7Lys E.Kessler M.2 : 1
    8Bencic B. (15)Gauff C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Navarro E. (16)Pegula J. (5)1 : 2
    2Kartal S.Noskova L. (26)0 : 2
    3Paolini J. (6)Anisimova A. (3)1 : 2
    4Lys E.Gauff C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (5)Noskova L. (26)1 : 2
    2Anisimova A. (3)Gauff C. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Noskova L. (26)Anisimova A. (3)