Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider
Result
0:2
02/09/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1
czech-republicCzech-republicHBO Max
germanyGermanyLaola1

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
65
1st serve percentage
74%71%
1st serve points won
70% (35/50)76% (37/49)
2nd serve points won
22% (4/18)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
6/106/8
Average 1st serve speed
168 km/h153 km/h
Average 2nd serve speed
152 km/h132 km/h
1st return points won
24% (12/49)30% (15/50)
2nd return points won
55% (11/20)78% (14/18)
Break Points Converted
2/84/10
Winners
1414
Unforced errors
3025
Net points won
73% (8/11)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
57% (39/68)66% (45/68)
Return Points Won
34% (23/68)43% (29/68)
Total Points Won
46% (62/136)54% (74/136)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)
Distance covered (metres)
12171373

Chances of winning


Karolina Pliskova
23.6%
Diana Shnaider
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 65.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.
  • Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Pliskova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (2.74)

    1.25
    (1.43)
    4.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 20.00
    What is the prediction for Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Shnaider will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pliskova is ranked WTA: 57. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 16.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Pliskova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shnaider is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pliskova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider were as follows:
    01.07.2024 Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider 1:2
    Latest results of Karolina Pliskova
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osorio C.2 : 0
    2Zarazua R.Iatcenko P. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ito A.Selekhmeteva O.0 : 2
    4Rakhimova K.Krejcikova B. (27)2 : 0
    5Chwalinska M. (20)Townsend T.0 : 2
    6Preston T. (WC)Parks A.2 : 0
    7Vandewinkel H.Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    8Snigur D.Shnaider D. (15)0 : 2
    9Kostyuk M. (11)Hunter S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Stephens S. (WC)Tauson C.2 : 0
    11Birrell K.Marcinko P.2 : 1
    12Kessler M.Alexandrova E. (18)0 : 2
    13Li A. (29)Ruzic A.2 : 0
    14Gibson T.Vekic D.1 : 2
    15Kalieva E. (Q)Tararudee L.1 : 2
    16Volynets K.Noskova L. (6)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (3)Ruse G.2 : 0
    18Williams V. (WC)Kenin S. (WC)0 : 2
    19Sawangkaew M.Udvardy P.2 : 0
    20Zhang S.Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    21Paolini J. (19)Erjavec V.2 : 1
    22Stefanini L. (Q)Yastremska D.2 : 1
    23Golubic V.Parry D.0 : 2
    24Grabher J.Cirstea S. (16)0 : 2
    25Svitolina E. (9)Sierra S.2 : 0
    26Joint M.Samsonova L.2 : 1
    27Arango E.Wang Xin.0 : 2
    28Blinkova A.Kalinskaya A. (21)0 : 2
    29Navarro E. (26)Boisson L.2 : 1
    30Koevermans A. (Q)McNally C.0 : 2
    31Lee C. Y. (WC)Boulter K.1 : 2
    32Kraus S.Muchova K. (7)0 : 2
    33Andreeva M. (5)Tjen J.2 : 0
    34Knutson G. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    35Bartunkova N.Sherif M.2 : 0
    36Maria T.Ostapenko J. (30)2 : 1
    37Potapova A. (24)Semenistaja D. (LL)2 : 0
    38Rus A. (Q)Jeanjean L. (WC)0 : 2
    39Tagger L.Korpatsch T.2 : 0
    40Krueger A.Anisimova A. (10)0 : 2
    41Jovic I. (14)Frech M.2 : 0
    42Linette M.Jones F. (Q)1 : 2
    43Oliynykova O.Brantmeier R. (WC)2 : 0
    44Stoiana M. (Q)Eala A. (17)0 : 2
    45Bejlek S. (28)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    46Kalinina A.Sakatsume H. (Q)0 : 2
    47Kasatkina D.Badosa P.0 : 2
    48Sonmez Z.Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    49Swiatek I. (8)Wang Xiy.2 : 0
    50Podoroska N.Waltert S.2 : 1
    51Dart H. (Q)Stearns P.2 : 1
    52Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (25)0 : 2
    53Keys M. (22)Korneeva A.2 : 0
    54Havlickova L. (Q)Bondar A.0 : 2
    55Zheng Q. (Q)Liutova K. (Q)2 : 1
    56Putintseva Y.Bencic B. (12)2 : 1
    57Osaka N. (13)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    58Cocciaretto E.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    59Zidansek T. (Q)Timofeeva M.0 : 2
    60Quevedo K.Mertens E. (23)0 : 2
    61Sakkari M. (32)Montgomery R. (Q)2 : 1
    62Starodubtseva Y.Seidel E.2 : 0
    63Vidmanova D.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    64Frodin T. (WC)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Iatcenko P.2 : 0
    2Selekhmeteva O.Rakhimova K.0 : 2
    3Townsend T.Preston T.2 : 0
    4Pliskova Ka.Shnaider D. (15)0 : 2
    5Kostyuk M. (11)Stephens S.2 : 0
    6Birrell K.Alexandrova E. (18)1 : 2
    7Li A. (29)Vekic D.2 : 1
    8Tararudee L.Noskova L. (6)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (3)Kenin S.2 : 0
    10Sawangkaew M.Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    11Paolini J. (19)Stefanini L.2 : 0
    12Parry D.Cirstea S. (16)0 : 2
    13Svitolina E. (9)Joint M.2 : 1
    14Wang Xin.Kalinskaya A. (21)1 : 2
    15Navarro E. (26)McNally C.2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Muchova K. (7)0 : 2
    17Andreeva M. (5)Lys E.2 : 0
    18Bartunkova N.Maria T.2 : 1
    19Potapova A. (24)Jeanjean L.2 : 1
    20Tagger L.Anisimova A. (10)1 : 2
    21Jovic I. (14)Jones F.2 : 0
    22Oliynykova O.Eala A. (17)0 : 2
    23Bucsa C.Sakatsume H.2 : 1
    24Badosa P.Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    25Swiatek I. (8)Podoroska N.2 : 0
    26Dart H.Bouzkova M. (25)0 : 2
    27Keys M. (22)Bondar A.2 : 1
    28Zheng Q.Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    29Osaka N. (13)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    30Timofeeva M.Mertens E. (23)0 : 2
    31Sakkari M. (32)Starodubtseva Y.1 : 2
    32Bouzas Maneiro J.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    2Townsend T.Shnaider D. (15)2 : 1
    3Kostyuk M. (11)Alexandrova E. (18)2 : 0
    4Li A. (29)Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    5Pegula J. (3)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 1
    6Paolini J. (19)Cirstea S. (16)0 : 2
    7Svitolina E. (9)Kalinskaya A. (21)1 : 2
    8Navarro E. (26)Muchova K. (7)2 : 0
    9Andreeva M. (5)Bartunkova N.2 : 0
    10Potapova A. (24)Anisimova A. (10)2 : 0
    11Jovic I. (14)Eala A. (17)2 : 1
    12Bucsa C.Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    13Swiatek I. (8)Bouzkova M. (25)2 : 0
    14Keys M. (22)Zheng Q.1 : 2
    15Osaka N. (13)Mertens E. (23)2 : 1
    16Starodubtseva Y.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Townsend T.2 : 0
    2Kostyuk M. (11)Noskova L. (6)1 : 2
    3Pegula J. (3)Cirstea S. (16)2 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A. (21)Navarro E. (26)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (5)Potapova A. (24)2 : 1
    6Jovic I. (14)Gauff C. (4)0 : 2
    7Swiatek I. (8)Zheng Q.0 : 2
    8Osaka N. (13)Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Noskova L. (6)
    2Pegula J. (3)Navarro E. (26)
    3Andreeva M. (5)Gauff C. (4)
    4Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2