TPS U20 vs Kärpät U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:50, 0 - 1, Gussander E. (G), Salovaara E. (A), Tauriainen A. (A2)
  • 07:17, 0 - 2, Karassaari J. (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Palokangas J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 14:54, 1 - 2, Elo S. (G), Uusikartano A. (A), Fugleberg P. (A2)

Chances of winning


TPS U20
46.3%
Draw
21.8%
Kärpät U20
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 22.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • TPS U20 - Kärpät U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.06)
    4.12
    (3.94)
    2.81
    (2.87)
    11.4%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Kärpät U20 has had a series of away games.
    • TPS U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:51. (average 1.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TPS U20 - Kärpät U20 were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Kärpät U20 - TPS U20 5:2
    21.09.2024 TPS U20 - Kärpät U20 0:5
    15.09.2024 Kärpät U20 - TPS U20 1:0
    02.02.2024 Kärpät U20 - TPS U20 5:2
    12.10.2023 Kärpät U20 - TPS U20 7:0
    Latest results of TPS U20
    20.12.2025 Pelicans U20 - TPS U20 2:4
    13.12.2025 TPS U20 - Lukko U20 4:5
    04.12.2025 TPS U20 - HIFK U20 3:1
    Latest results of Kärpät U20
    20.12.2025 SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20 2:3
    19.12.2025 KooKoo U20 - Kärpät U20 3:0
    12.12.2025 Kärpät U20 - HPK U20 6:3
    03.12.2025 RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20 1:2
    Finnish SM-sarja U20 Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ilves U20 ✔ 4026545177:9192
    2Pelicans Lahti U20 ✔ 3923529139:8581
    3Assat U2040213313128:9672
    4Jyvaskyla U2041195413121:11371
    5Jukurit U2040184414121:11366
    6Kiekko-Espoo U2039174513126:10264
    7Tappara U2039164613121:11462
    8Hameenlinna U2040172615129:11761
    9TPS U2041173417104:10761
    10Karpat U2040173317113:12660
    11KooKoo U2039128415102:10456
    12KalPa U2040145318149:14955
    13IFK Helsinki U2039152517118:12354
    14Jokerit U2039135417114:12553
    15Vaasan Sport U2039127218111:13152
    16Lukko U203914232091:11449
    17SaiPa U203983622104:17536
    18RoKi U20395242891:17423

          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          SM~sarja U20 (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pelicans Lahti U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)