Result
17/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Chances of winning
Kärpät
49.8% | Draw
22.9% | HPK
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kärpät's form might have worsened.HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kärpät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Kärpät - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.66) |
4.09 ↓
(4.3) |
3.47 ↓
(4) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Kärpät - HPK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HPK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- HPK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kärpät has had a series of away games.
- Kärpät will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Kärpät will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 56:38. (average 2.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 3.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HPK?
Kärpät has won 11 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kärpät?
HPK has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HPK were as follows:
22.01.2025
Kärpät
-
HPK
0:3
13.12.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
0:4
23.11.2024
Kärpät
-
HPK
4:5
02.10.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
3:4
21.02.2024
Kärpät
-
HPK
1:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
