Result
0:3
22/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.78 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/27) | 11.54% (3/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.46% (23/26) | 100% (27/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 40.35 | 59.65 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 03:26, 0 - 1, Tuulola E. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Rautiainen T. (A2)
- 07:03, 0 - 2, Huttunen H. (G), Ketola J. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:56, Ravinskis A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:54, Virta P. (2 min),
- 05:54, Jarvela J. (2 min),
- 07:29, Tardif B. (2 min),
- 08:40, 0 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Ketola J. (A), Ravinskis A. (A2)
- 09:42, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
- 11:10, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 19:11, Turunen T. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
59.6% | Draw
20.5% | HPK
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kärpät that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Kärpät - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.6) |
4.6 ↑
(4.3) |
4.74 ↑
(4.1) |
6.4%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Kärpät - HPK?
Users Predictions:
HPK will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 4.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- HPK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently HPK have a series of home games.
- In this match Kärpät is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 60:38 (average 3:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 34:16 (average 3.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HPK?
Kärpät has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Kärpät?
HPK has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HPK were as follows:
13.12.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
0:4
23.11.2024
Kärpät
-
HPK
4:5
02.10.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
3:4
21.02.2024
Kärpät
-
HPK
1:0
20.01.2024
HPK
-
Kärpät
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
