Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.94 | 2.08 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 3.57% (1/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.43% (27/28) | 88% (22/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 0% (0/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 75% (6/8) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.77 | 53.23 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 00:46, Curry P. (2 min),
- 04:29, Kanak L. (2 min),
- 04:29, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 05:40, Curry P. (2 min),
- 07:53, Tieksola T. (2 min),
- 09:04, 1 - 0, Klemetti A. (G), Korhonen B. (A),
- 13:23, Tichacek J. (2 min),
- 19:31, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:42, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 06:20, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 12:48, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 15:00, Virta P. (2 min),
- 16:03, 2 - 0, Lappalainen L. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Rissanen J. (A2)
- 16:03, Virta P. (2 min),
- 19:29, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 17:02, 3 - 0, Lantta J. (G), Kononen J. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 17:35, 3 - 1, Ohtamaa A. (G), Kantner M. (A), Juusola V. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
49.7% | Draw
21.9% | Kärpät
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KalPa - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.86) |
4.34 ↓
(4.55) |
3.32 ↓
(3.33) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KalPa - Kärpät?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
- Recent performances by KalPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kärpät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- KalPa could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:60. (average 3.7:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:35. (average 4.5:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Kärpät?
KalPa has won 11 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against KalPa?
Kärpät has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Kärpät were as follows:
24.10.2025
KalPa
-
Kärpät
6:4
21.08.2025
KalPa
-
Kärpät
4:7
22.02.2025
KalPa
-
Kärpät
7:5
21.02.2025
KalPa
-
Kärpät
4:3
19.10.2024
Kärpät
-
KalPa
1:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
