Result
3:1
19/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 2.85 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.57% (3/35) | 3.33% (1/30) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.67% (29/30) | 91.43% (32/35) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.94 | 53.06 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 02:34, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 05:26, Keskitalo M. (2 min),
- 10:28, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 12:49, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 08:25, 1 - 0, Virta P. (G), Ohtamaa A. (A),
- 18:17, 1 - 1, Vaisanen J. (G), Jarvinen M. (A), Jurmo J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:05, 2 - 1, Antti-Roiko A. (G), Virta P. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- 14:15, Virta P. (2 min),
- 14:15, Stevens J. (5 min),
- 14:15, Rimpinen P. (2 min),
- 17:44, 3 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Raty Aku (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
48% | Draw
23.4% | Kiekko-Espoo
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.79) |
4.07 ↓
(4.58) |
3.27 ↓
(3.55) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent performances by Kärpät have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kiekko-Espoo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kiekko-Espoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kärpät could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Kärpät will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1.5:4.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Kärpät has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Kärpät?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
04.10.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
1:5
17.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
1:4
20.12.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
0:5
22.11.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
3:2
09.10.2024
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:5
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 29 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 101:68 | 57 |
| 2 | Assat | 29 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 91:64 | 55 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 102:76 | 53 |
| 4 | JYP | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 101:78 | 51 |
| 5 | Lukko | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 81:72 | 49 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 28 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 93:75 | 47 |
| 7 | Kiekko-Espoo | 30 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 79:88 | 44 |
| 8 | KalPa | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 87:88 | 43 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 30 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 69:76 | 40 |
| 10 | Jukurit | 30 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 68:82 | 39 |
| 11 | Ilves | 27 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 76:85 | 38 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 30 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 61:97 | 36 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 28 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 68:78 | 35 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 27 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 53:67 | 35 |
| 15 | Karpat | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 89:99 | 32 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 60:86 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
