Result
1:2
23/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.49 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.55% (1/22) | 10.53% (2/19) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.47% (17/19) | 95.45% (21/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.1 | 56.9 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:15, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 03:00, Aronsson A. (2 min),
- 11:05, 0 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
- 15:05, (2 min),
- 19:03, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:19, Komarov L. (5 min),
- 05:45, 0 - 2, Tichacek J. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- 09:22, Stalberg S. (2 min),
- 11:04, 1 - 2, Virtanen S. (G), Hillis C. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
38.1% | Draw
24.1% | Kärpät
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.7) |
3.81 ↑
(3.75) |
2.46 ↑
(2.3) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.4:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1.3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Kärpät?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Kärpät has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät were as follows:
17.12.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
4:3
19.11.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:1
04.10.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
1:5
17.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
1:4
20.12.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
0:5
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
