Result
1:5
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 2.59 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.03% (1/33) | 17.86% (5/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.19% (23/27) | 96.97% (32/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 37 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (8/8) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.38 | 40.63 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 07:23, 0 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
- 13:34, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 13:34, Aronsson A. (2 min),
- 13:34, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 15:34, Tichacek J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 04:43, 0 - 2, Peltonen J. (G), Tieksola T. (A), Paaso A. (A2)
- 06:07, Aronsson A. (2 min),
- 12:02, 0 - 3, Ojantakanen K. (G), Paaso A. (A), Nikupeteri O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:56, 0 - 4, Raty Aku (G), Erholtz E. (A),
- 09:01, Alasiurua A. (2 min),
- 12:53, Hillis C. (2 min),
- 13:53, 1 - 4, Leppanen O. (G), Vaisanen J. (A),
- 14:04, Kantner M. (2 min),
- 16:59, Stevens J. (2 min),
- 17:17, Salmela T. (5 min),
- 17:23, 1 - 5, Ohtamaa A. (G), Hirvonen R. (A),
- 19:52, Virta P. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
45.3% | Draw
23.2% | Kärpät
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.98) |
4.15 ↑
(4.08) |
2.98 ↓
(3.12) |
4.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In recent matches, Kiekko-Espoo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kärpät has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kiekko-Espoo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Kiekko-Espoo will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Kärpät?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Kärpät has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät were as follows:
17.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
1:4
20.12.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
0:5
22.11.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
3:2
09.10.2024
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:5
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
