Result
1:2
23/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.49 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.55% (1/22) | 10.53% (2/19) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.47% (17/19) | 95.45% (21/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.1 | 56.9 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:15, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 03:00, Aronsson A. (2 min),
- 11:05, 0 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
- 15:05, (2 min),
- 19:03, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:19, Komarov L. (5 min),
- 05:45, 0 - 2, Tichacek J. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- 09:22, Stalberg S. (2 min),
- 11:04, 1 - 2, Virtanen S. (G), Hillis C. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
38.1% | Draw
24.1% | Kärpät
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.7) |
3.81 ↑
(3.75) |
2.46 ↑
(2.3) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.4:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1.3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Kärpät?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Kärpät has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät were as follows:
17.12.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
4:3
19.11.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:1
04.10.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
1:5
17.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
1:4
20.12.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Kärpät
0:5
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
