Result
2:1
28/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.94 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.67% (2/30) | 5.56% (1/18) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (17/18) | 93.33% (28/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.28 | 54.72 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 05:11, Westerholm Po. (2 min),
- 06:16, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 08:11, Hermonen J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:03, Rueschhoff A. (2 min),
- 14:01, Kainulainen H. (2 min),
- 14:25, (2 min),
- 15:43, 0 - 1, Kovarcik M. (G), Tardif B. (A), Bjork M. (A2)
- 17:34, 1 - 1, Khodorenko P. (G), Viitasalo N. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 17:47, Nikupeteri O. (2 min),
- 19:35, 2 - 1, Viitasalo N. (G), Krannila J. (A), Nousiainen K. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lukko
54.8% | Draw
21% | Kärpät
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-1%)
Lukko - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.71) |
4.48 ↑
(4.26) |
3.9 ↓
(3.93) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Lukko - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lukko won 4.
- Recent matches Lukko is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kärpät is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kärpät could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lukko is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lukko won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 64:39 (average 3.2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lukko won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31:17 (average 3.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Kärpät?
Lukko has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Lukko?
Kärpät has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Kärpät were as follows:
14.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Lukko
5:4
20.11.2024
Kärpät
-
Lukko
3:4
21.09.2024
Lukko
-
Kärpät
6:2
30.01.2024
Kärpät
-
Lukko
1:2
06.01.2024
Lukko
-
Kärpät
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
