Result
5:2
10/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.26 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16.13% (5/31) | 9.09% (2/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 86.67% (26/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.76 | 45.24 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 04:22, 0 - 1, Jung S. (G), Alasiurua A. (A), Paaso A. (A2)
- 19:24, 1 - 1, Viitasalo N. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Beaucage A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:22, 1 - 2, Virta P. (G), Raty Aku (A),
- 05:05, Bjork M. (2 min),
- 05:41, 2 - 2, Beaucage A. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- 15:38, 3 - 2, Krannila J. (Penalty Shot),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:46, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 01:13, 4 - 2, Westerholm Po. (G), Saarela A. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- 06:29, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 15:59, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 17:08, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 17:22, 5 - 2, Krannila J. (G),
Chances of winning
Lukko
56.4% | Draw
21.4% | Kärpät
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.8) |
4.3 ↑
(4.05) |
4.28 ↑
(3.92) |
7.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Lukko - Kärpät?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.
- Lukko is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kärpät has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lukko is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 66:43. (average 3.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:17. (average 3.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Kärpät?
Lukko has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Lukko?
Kärpät has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Kärpät were as follows:
24.09.2025
Kärpät
-
Lukko
5:7
28.02.2025
Lukko
-
Kärpät
2:1
14.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Lukko
5:4
20.11.2024
Kärpät
-
Lukko
3:4
21.09.2024
Lukko
-
Kärpät
6:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
