Mikkelin Jukurit vs Kärpät – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät
Result
6:3
10/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.621.39
Shots on Goal
2628
Shots off target
169
Shooting PCT
23.08% (6/26)10.71% (3/28)
Blocked Shots
78
Goalkeeper Saves
2520
Saves PCT
89.29% (25/28)80% (20/25)
Penalties
04
PIM
08
Power-play Goals
30
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
75% (3/4)0% (0/0)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (0/0)25% (1/4)
Faceoffs Won
2236
Faceoffs %
37.9362.07
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 09:23, 1 - 0, Smits A. (G), Arola J. (A), Horvath B. (A2)
  • 13:15, 1 - 1, Paaso A. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
  • 14:22, 1 - 2, Nutivaara M. (G), Tieksola T. (A), Alasiurua A. (A2)
  • 16:58, Tikka T. (2 min),
  • 18:33, 2 - 2, Olsen T. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Arola J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 04:47, 3 - 2, Addamo J. (G), Horvath B. (A), Smits A. (A2)
  • 05:49, Paaso A. (2 min),
  • 06:19, 4 - 2, Ruuttu A. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Arola J. (A2)
  • 13:34, 4 - 3, Alasiurua A. (G), Salmela T. (A), Tardif B. (A2)
  • 15:22, Erholtz E. (2 min),
  • 16:05, 5 - 3, Hamalainen S. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Arola J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:58, Ojantakanen K. (2 min),
  • 17:13, 6 - 3, Hamalainen S. (G), Ford C. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)

Chances of winning


Mikkelin Jukurit
28.5%
Draw
23.3%
Kärpät
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 23.7% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 23.3% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.94)
    3.99
    (3.95)
    1.98
    (2.11)
    5.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jukurit will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Jukurit has had a series of home games.
    • Kärpät could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 40:55. (average 2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät 2:3
    18.12.2024 Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit 1:2
    15.11.2024 Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät 0:2
    13.09.2024 Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit 3:2
    30.03.2024 Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät 3:4
    Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
    04.10.2025 TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit 2:3
    03.10.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS 2:1
    30.09.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP 4:2
    27.09.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK 1:3
    Latest results of Kärpät
    08.10.2025 Kärpät - JYP 5:2
    04.10.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät 1:5
    03.10.2025 Ilves - Kärpät 2:7
    01.10.2025 Kärpät - Pelicans 2:3
    27.09.2025 Tappara - Kärpät 3:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )