Result
5:4
20/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.44 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.74% (5/23) | 16.67% (4/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (20/24) | 78.26% (18/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.86 | 43.14 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 03:47, 0 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Antti-Roiko A. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 05:12, (2 min),
- 08:17, Romppanen N. (2 min),
- 10:13, 0 - 2, Tikka T. (G), Junttila J. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
- 13:55, Ruuttu A. (2 min),
- 14:27, 0 - 3, Hirvonen R. (G), Raty Aku (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 01:10, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 01:10, Smits A. (2 min),
- 01:58, 1 - 3, Hynninen T. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Boudon L. (A2)
- 02:15, 2 - 3, Arola J. (G), Frilander J. (A),
- 12:25, 2 - 4, Hermonen J. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Salmela T. (A2)
- 12:25, 3 - 4, Piitulainen J. (G), Hynninen T. (A), Boudon L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:55, 4 - 4, Boudon L. (G), Hynninen T. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)
- 04:50, 5 - 4, Tammela J. (G), Hodass B. (A), Arola J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Mikkelin Jukurit
33.2% | Draw
24.9% | Kärpät
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↓
(3.04) |
3.7 ↑
(3.64) |
2.23 ↑
(2.14) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 2.
- Recent form of Jukurit has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kärpät has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jukurit has had a series of away games.
- Kärpät will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:55. (average 2.4:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against Kärpät?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 7 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
Kärpät has won 15 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät were as follows:
20.12.2025
Kärpät
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:2
12.11.2025
Kärpät
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
4:3
10.10.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Kärpät
6:3
25.01.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Kärpät
2:3
18.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
1:2
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
