Result
5:4
20/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.44 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.74% (5/23) | 16.67% (4/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (20/24) | 78.26% (18/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.86 | 43.14 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 03:47, 0 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Antti-Roiko A. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 05:12, (2 min),
- 08:17, Romppanen N. (2 min),
- 10:13, 0 - 2, Tikka T. (G), Junttila J. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
- 13:55, Ruuttu A. (2 min),
- 14:27, 0 - 3, Hirvonen R. (G), Raty Aku (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 1)
- 01:10, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 01:10, Smits A. (2 min),
- 01:58, 1 - 3, Hynninen T. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Boudon L. (A2)
- 02:15, 2 - 3, Arola J. (G), Frilander J. (A),
- 12:25, 2 - 4, Hermonen J. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Salmela T. (A2)
- 12:25, 3 - 4, Piitulainen J. (G), Hynninen T. (A), Boudon L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:55, 4 - 4, Boudon L. (G), Hynninen T. (A), Piitulainen J. (A2)
- 04:50, 5 - 4, Tammela J. (G), Hodass B. (A), Arola J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Mikkelin Jukurit 33.2% | Draw 24.9% | Kärpät 41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↓ (3.04) |
3.7 ↑ (3.64) |
2.23 ↑ (2.14) |
7.2% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 2.
- Recent form of Jukurit has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kärpät has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jukurit has had a series of away games.
- Kärpät will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:55. (average 2.4:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against Kärpät?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 7 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
Kärpät has won 15 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät were as follows:
20.12.2025
Kärpät
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
3:2
12.11.2025
Kärpät
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
4:3
10.10.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Kärpät
6:3
25.01.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Kärpät
2:3
18.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
1:2
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |