Result
5:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.20 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (5/15) | 6.25% (1/16) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.75% (15/16) | 71.43% (10/14) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 29.73 | 70.27 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 18:09, Kumpula J. (2 min),
- 18:57, Luhanka E. (2 min),
- 18:57, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 18:57, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:25, 1 - 0, Vanderbeck A. (G), Nurmi V. (A), Carlsson P. (A2)
- 07:51, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 12:39, Jordan M. (2 min),
- 16:29, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 18:13, 2 - 0, Nieminen K. (G), Vanderbeck A. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
- 19:50, Dudas A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 00:36, 2 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 02:01, 3 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Nieminen K. (A), Luhanka E. (A2)
- 05:41, 4 - 1, Vanderbeck A. (G),
- 16:34, 5 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Lind O. (A),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
36.3% | Draw
25.3% | Kärpät
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pelicans - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.47) |
3.65 ↑
(3.58) |
2.48 ↓
(2.67) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 53:42. (average 2.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Kärpät?
Pelicans has won 11 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Pelicans?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Kärpät were as follows:
01.10.2025
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
2:3
12.02.2025
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
4:7
11.01.2025
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
2:1
05.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
5:4
16.11.2024
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
4:1
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
