Result
0:5
17/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 3.05 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/29) | 27.78% (5/18) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 72.22% (13/18) | 100% (29/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.33 | 51.67 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 15:31, Hirvonen K. (2 min),
- 16:41, 0 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Kantner M. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 19:10, 0 - 2, Pietila B. (G), Ojantakanen K. (A),
- 20:00, Paaso A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 05:01, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 02:16, 0 - 3, Pietila B. (G), Hakanpaa J. (A), Ojantakanen K. (A2)
- 12:13, 0 - 4, Kantner M. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 18:35, 0 - 5, Tieksola T. (G),
Chances of winning
Pelicans
43.9% | Draw
24.3% | Kärpät
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pelicans's form might have worsened.Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-3%)
Pelicans - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.89) |
3.83 ↓
(3.95) |
2.96 ↓
(3.45) |
7.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Pelicans - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pelicans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pelicans might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:41. (average 2.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Kärpät?
Pelicans has won 13 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Pelicans?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pelicans - Kärpät were as follows:
28.01.2026
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
2:3
29.11.2025
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
5:1
01.10.2025
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
2:3
12.02.2025
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
4:7
11.01.2025
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
2:1
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
