Kärpät vs Pelicans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Kärpät - Pelicans
Result
2:3 OT
01/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.412.03
Shots on Goal
2622
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
7.69% (2/26)13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
138
Goalkeeper Saves
1924
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)92.31% (24/26)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
0% (0/1)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
2120
Faceoffs %
51.2248.78
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 08:43, Zetterberg L. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 08:44, 0 - 1, Nieminen K. (G), Falk H. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
  • 12:58, 0 - 2, Karvinen R. (G), Edmonds L. (A), Vilen E. (A2)
  • 15:59, Edmonds L. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:26, 1 - 2, Virta P. (G), Raty Aku (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
  • 16:28, 2 - 2, Raty Aku (G), Tardif B. (A), Bjork M. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 02:14, Bjork M. (2 min),
  • 02:45, 2 - 3, Zetterberg L. (G), Karvinen R. (A), Vilen E. (A2)

Chances of winning


Kärpät
59.7%
Draw
20.6%
Pelicans
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 20% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 19.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Kärpät - Pelicans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.53)
    4.58
    (4.65)
    4.77
    (4.83)
    6.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
    • Kärpät is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pelicans is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Kärpät is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 43:52. (average 2.2:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 2.8:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Pelicans were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Kärpät - Pelicans 4:7
    11.01.2025 Pelicans - Kärpät 2:1
    05.12.2024 Kärpät - Pelicans 5:4
    16.11.2024 Pelicans - Kärpät 4:1
    13.04.2024 Pelicans - Kärpät 2:1
    Latest results of Kärpät
    27.09.2025 Tappara - Kärpät 3:2
    26.09.2025 Kärpät - KooKoo 3:6
    24.09.2025 Kärpät - Lukko 5:7
    20.09.2025 Ässät - Kärpät 5:2
    17.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - Kärpät 1:2
    Latest results of Pelicans
    27.09.2025 Pelicans - SaiPa 2:5
    26.09.2025 HPK - Pelicans 5:2
    24.09.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 3:2
    20.09.2025 JYP - Pelicans 5:1
    19.09.2025 Pelicans - Ilves 2:3
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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