Result
4:7
12/02/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 4.00 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12.9% (4/31) | 24.14% (7/29) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 78.57% (22/28) | 87.1% (27/31) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 60.42 | 39.58 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:51, Bryggman L. (2 min),
- 07:58, Alasiurua A. (2 min),
- 14:35, 1 - 0, Masin D. (G), Tardif B. (A), Bjork M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 3)
- 01:38, Tyrvainen A. (2 min),
- 03:34, 2 - 0, Rueschhoff A. (G), Alasiurua A. (A), Tardif B. (A2)
- 04:56, 2 - 1, Kumpulainen R. (G), Tukiainen L. (A), Vilen E. (A2)
- 06:19, Rueschhoff A. (2 min),
- 11:26, 3 - 1, Hermonen J. (G), Masin D. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 12:37, 3 - 2, Vilen E. (G), Tukiainen L. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
- 15:03, 3 - 3, Nieminen D. (G), Tyrvainen A. (A), Kangasniemi I. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 4)
- 05:43, Kovarcik M. (2 min),
- 07:01, 3 - 4, Tukiainen L. (G), Roine M. (A), Horky L. (A2)
- 08:42, 3 - 5, Lawrence J. (G), Lasch R. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
- 10:58, Hirvonen K. (2 min),
- 11:24, 4 - 5, Kovarcik M. (G), Turunen T. (A), Gardiner R. (A2)
- 11:48, 4 - 6, Lasch R. (G), Johannesen J. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
- 19:13, 4 - 7, Tukiainen L. (G), Bryggman L. (A),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
44.6% | Draw
23.5% | Pelicans
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kärpät's form might have worsened.Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kärpät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Kärpät - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.84) |
3.98 ↓
(4.25) |
2.97 ↓
(3.28) |
5.9%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15 in the zone Liiga (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 2.
- Recent matches Kärpät is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Pelicans has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Kärpät could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Kärpät will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 41:49 (average 2.1:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:19 (average 2.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Pelicans?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Kärpät?
Pelicans has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Pelicans were as follows:
11.01.2025
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
2:1
05.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
5:4
16.11.2024
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
4:1
13.04.2024
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
2:1
12.04.2024
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
1:0
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
