Result
2:3 OT
28/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.25 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 15% (3/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.72 | 51.28 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 13:32, 0 - 1, Dudas A. (G), Jurgens C. (A),
- 15:08, Soini K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:50, Vilen E. (2 min),
- 05:29, Dudas A. (2 min),
- 14:44, 1 - 1, Ohtamaa A. (G), Paaso A. (A), Junttila J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:02, Hermonen J. (2 min),
- 12:10, Tichacek J. (2 min),
- 18:17, 2 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Junttila J. (A), Antti-Roiko A. (A2)
- 19:22, 2 - 2, Karvinen R. (G), Dudas A. (A), Vaananen M. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:26, 2 - 3, Nieminen D. (G), Vaananen M. (A), Batna O. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
43.4% | Draw
24.5% | Pelicans
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.93) |
3.75 ↓
(3.88) |
2.87 ↓
(3.39) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Kärpät - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pelicans will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pelicans will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Pelicans has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 41:58. (average 2.1:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 2.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Pelicans?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Kärpät?
Pelicans has won 12 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Pelicans were as follows:
29.11.2025
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
5:1
01.10.2025
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
2:3
12.02.2025
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
4:7
11.01.2025
Pelicans
-
Kärpät
2:1
05.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Pelicans
5:4
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
