Kärpät vs Vaasan Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu).

Liiga
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.13	2.33
Shots on Goal
28	32
Shots off target
16	12
Shooting PCT
21.43% (6/28)	0% (0/32)
Blocked Shots
10	9
Goalkeeper Saves
32	22
Saves PCT
100% (32/32)	78.57% (22/28)
Penalties
3	5
PIM
6	31
Power-play Goals
2	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
40% (2/5)	0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)	60% (3/5)
Faceoffs Won
34	27
Faceoffs %
55.74	44.26
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
06:00, Timonen S. (2 min),
06:07, 1 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
13:22, 2 - 0, Virta P. (G), Pietila B. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
16:25, Raty Aku (2 min),
18:26, 3 - 0, Tichacek J. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:28, Hjalmarsson S. (2 min),
08:08, 4 - 0, Virta P. (G), Kantner M. (A), Antti-Roiko A. (A2)
11:56, Soini K. (2 min),
11:56, Troock B. (5 min),
13:15, 5 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Salmela T. (A), Virta P. (A2)
16:26, 6 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
17:17, Piipponen S. (2 min),

Chances of winning

Kärpät
60.5%

Draw
19.9%

Vaasan Sport
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.5%

19.4%

Kärpät - Vaasan Sport Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	4.71 ↑ (4.26)	4.82 ↑ (4.72)	6.7% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

What is the prediction for Kärpät - Vaasan Sport?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Kärpät is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 63:35. (average 3.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 3.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Vaasan Sport?

Kärpät has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Kärpät?

Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Vaasan Sport were as follows:

17.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - Kärpät 1:2

09.09.2025 Kärpät - Vaasan Sport 0:3

07.08.2025 Vaasan Sport - Kärpät 4:7

01.02.2025 Vaasan Sport - Kärpät 5:1

21.12.2024 Kärpät - Vaasan Sport 4:0

Latest results of Kärpät

30.12.2025 Ilves - Kärpät 3:2 ✺

27.12.2025 Kärpät - JYP 2:4 ✺

26.12.2025 JYP - Kärpät 5:3 ✺

20.12.2025 Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit 3:2 ✺

17.12.2025 Kärpät - Kiekko-Espoo 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Vaasan Sport

30.12.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ässät 2:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 1:4 ✺

26.12.2025 Lukko - Vaasan Sport 2:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Tappara - Vaasan Sport 5:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Vaasan Sport - Tappara 4:2 ✺

Finnish SM-liiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Tappara	36	22	2	2	10	128:84	72
2	Lukko	36	19	4	1	12	112:90	66
3	JYP	34	18	5	2	9	128:99	66
4	SaiPa	37	18	3	5	11	125:102	65
5	KooKoo	36	16	7	1	12	125:97	63
6	Ilves	36	16	6	3	11	114:98	63
7	Assat	36	17	4	3	12	106:89	62
8	KalPa	35	16	3	2	14	107:114	56
9	Kiekko-Espoo	37	13	3	5	16	97:111	50
10	TPS Turku	37	10	6	6	15	86:102	48
11	IFK Helsinki	36	13	2	4	17	83:115	47
12	Jukurit	36	12	3	4	17	82:96	46
13	Pelicans	35	10	5	5	15	69:88	45
14	Karpat	37	10	4	4	19	115:124	42
15	Hameenlinna	38	9	4	7	18	91:113	42
16	Vaasan Sport	36	8	1	8	19	73:119	34

Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)