Result
1:2
17/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.38 | 1.72 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.35% (1/23) | 9.09% (2/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 39.34 | 60.66 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 04:31, 0 - 1, Tardif B. (G), Paaso A. (A),
- 08:15, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 15:41, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 16:47, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 17:05, 1 - 1, Hjalmarsson S. (G), Koivisto M. (A), Larsson L. (A2)
- 19:03, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 19:37, 1 - 2, Kantner M. (G), Raty Aku (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 12:27, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:18, Hakkila H. (2 min),
- 15:09, Tichacek J. (2 min),
- 18:11, (2 min),
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
23.6% | Draw
22% | Kärpät
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vaasan Sport's form might have worsened.Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kärpät's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaasan Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-5%)
Vaasan Sport - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(3.14) |
4.45 ↑
(4.2) |
1.74 ↓
(1.98) |
4.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Vaasan Sport - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.
- Recent form of Vaasa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kärpät has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kärpät has had a series of home games.
- Kärpät could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 37:62. (average 1.9:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 2.1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Kärpät?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Vaasan Sport?
Kärpät has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - Kärpät were as follows:
09.09.2025
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
0:3
07.08.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
4:7
01.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
5:1
21.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
4:0
12.10.2024
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
5:4
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
