Result
1:3
17/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 3.61 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.7% (1/27) | 10.71% (3/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92.59% (25/27) | 96.3% (26/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 33 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (6/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.39 | 51.61 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 14:48, Kantner M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:10, Hakkila H. (2 min),
- 16:18, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 18:19, 1 - 0, Keinanen J. (G), Hakkila H. (A), Aarnio A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 05:57, Tikka T. (5 min),
- 06:44, 1 - 1, Hirvonen R. (G), Paaso A. (A), Hakanpaa J. (A2)
- 10:39, Hunt B. (2 min),
- 12:49, Virta P. (2 min),
- 14:36, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 14:36, Tiihonen M. (2 min),
- 17:27, Harkimo D. (2 min),
- 19:00, 1 - 2, Kantner M. (G), Raty Aku (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 19:18, 1 - 3, Hermonen J. (G), Junttila J. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Vaasan Sport
15.9% | Draw
18.7% | Kärpät
65.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kärpät, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vaasan Sport - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.92 ↑
(5.1) |
4.9 ↑
(4.43) |
1.44 ↓
(1.54) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Vaasan Sport - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5, OT - Vaasa (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vaasa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:4.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.
- Vaasa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kärpät is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vaasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kärpät is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 34:65. (average 1.7:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 2:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Kärpät?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Vaasan Sport?
Kärpät has won 13 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vaasan Sport - Kärpät were as follows:
03.01.2026
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
6:0
17.09.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
1:2
09.09.2025
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
0:3
07.08.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
4:7
01.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
5:1
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
