Result
6:0
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.13 | 2.33 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.43% (6/28) | 0% (0/32) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (32/32) | 78.57% (22/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 31 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 60% (3/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.74 | 44.26 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 06:00, Timonen S. (2 min),
- 06:07, 1 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- 13:22, 2 - 0, Virta P. (G), Pietila B. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 16:25, Raty Aku (2 min),
- 18:26, 3 - 0, Tichacek J. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 03:28, Hjalmarsson S. (2 min),
- 08:08, 4 - 0, Virta P. (G), Kantner M. (A), Antti-Roiko A. (A2)
- 11:56, Soini K. (2 min),
- 11:56, Troock B. (5 min),
- 13:15, 5 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Salmela T. (A), Virta P. (A2)
- 16:26, 6 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- 17:17, Piipponen S. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
60.5% | Draw
19.9% | Vaasan Sport
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Kärpät - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.64) |
4.71 ↑
(4.26) |
4.82 ↑
(4.72) |
6.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kärpät - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Kärpät is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 63:35. (average 3.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 3.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Vaasan Sport?
Kärpät has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Kärpät?
Vaasan Sport has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
17.09.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
1:2
09.09.2025
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
0:3
07.08.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
4:7
01.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kärpät
5:1
21.12.2024
Kärpät
-
Vaasan Sport
4:0
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
