Karpaty Lviv vs Dynamo Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
27/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Romanov V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
49
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
18
Fouls
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Alvarez P. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Bruninho , Krasnopir I. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 1, Karavaev O. , Pikhalyonok O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Shaparenko M. , Voloshyn N. (A),
  • 52', 2 - 3, Karavaev O. , Voloshyn N. (A),
  • 70', Blanuta V. , Guerrero E. ,
  • 71', Kostenko Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Kostenko Y. , Fabiano ,
  • 80', Karavaev O. , Tymchyk O. ,
  • 80', Chachua A. , Klymenko V. ,
  • 80', Pikhalyonok O. , Yatsyk O. ,
  • 81', Alvarez P. , Tanda P. ,
  • 89', Bilovar K. , Mykhavko T. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Miroshnichenko D. , Bruninho (A),

Chances of winning


Karpaty Lviv
19.8%
Draw
24.7%
Dynamo Kyiv
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.1% 20.3% 67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4% 19.1% 71.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karpaty Lviv's performance.
  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Kyiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karpaty Lviv that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.28
    (7.4)
    3.43
    (4.4)
    1.53
    (1.32)
    18.1%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dynamo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Dynamo (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Dynamo (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 0.
    • Karpaty has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dynamo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Karpaty has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Dynamo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 10:39. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv 2:0
    17.08.2024 Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv 1:3
    Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
    22.09.2025 Obolon - Karpaty Lviv 0:2
    14.09.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Poltava 1:1
    29.08.2025 Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv 2:2
    24.08.2025 Penuel - Karpaty Lviv 0:8
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LNZ Cherkasy17122322:81438
    2Shakhtar Donetsk17115145:123338
    3Polissya Zhytomyr17103428:111733
    4Dyn. Kyiv1785436:211529
    5Kryvbas1776428:24427
    6Metalist 19251667318:12625
    7Kolos Kovalivka1767417:15225
    8FK Zorya Luhansk1766521:20124
    9Veres-Rivne1656516:19-321
    10Karpaty Lviv1747620:24-419
    11Rukh Lviv17611015:24-919
    12Obolon1645712:27-1517
    13Kudrivka1744921:32-1116
    14Epitsentr17421118:29-1114
    15Oleksandriya1625914:28-1411
    16SC Poltava17231216:41-259

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga