Result
1:2
09/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (59/84) | 68% (51/75) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 46% (16/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (24/75) | 30% (25/84) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (19/35) | 59% (20/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 72 | 57 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (73/118) | 61% (67/110) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (43/110) | 38% (45/118) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (116/228) | 49% (112/228) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 44% (14/32) |
Chances of winning
Karue Sell
56.9% | Yuta Shimizu
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karue Sell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Karue Sell - Yuta Shimizu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.67) |
|
2.18 ↑
(2.1) |
7.1%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Karue Sell - Yuta Shimizu?
Users Predictions:
Karue Sell will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karue Sell will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sell is ranked ATP: 289. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 218.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Karue Sell won against Yuta Shimizu?
Karue Sell has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yuta Shimizu won against Karue Sell?
Yuta Shimizu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karue Sell - Yuta Shimizu were as follows:
Latest results of Karue Sell
Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Tudorica A. N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Sakamoto R. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzige M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Johns G. | Chung H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Riedi L. (Q) | Jubb P. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Boulais J. (WC) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (8) | Andrade A. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Glinka D. (Q) | Imamura M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhou Y. | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Martin A. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Noguchi R. (6) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Aguilar J. C. M. (WC) | Arseneault N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Miyoshi K. | Sekulic P. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Moriya H. (Q) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andrade A. | Imamura M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhou Y. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noguchi R. (6) | Arseneault N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimizu Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Andrade A. | Zhou Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Noguchi R. (6) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zhou Y. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
