Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (392/460) | 66% (162/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (392/460) | 66% (162/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 34% (24/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (81/124) | 51% (39/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Cedidla M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 60', Chramosta J. ↓, Alegue A. ↑,
- 65', Samko D. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
- 72', Zorvan F. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Rusek A. ⚽,
- 79', Singhateh E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 79', Chytry J. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Krcik D. (Pen),
- 86', Tekijaski N. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
- 86', Sedlacek R. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
- 90+5', Puskac D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karviná
31.1% | Draw
28.1% | Jablonec
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Karviná - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(3.2) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
2.37 ↑
(2.16) |
0.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Karviná - Jablonec?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Jablonec will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.
- In recent matches, Karviná has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jablonec is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Karviná: Camara S.
(Red Card)
Sigut S.
(Injury)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Polidar M.
(Health problems)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Jablonec?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Karviná?
Jablonec has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Jablonec were as follows:
23.02.2025
Jablonec
-
Karviná
5:0
21.09.2024
Karviná
-
Jablonec
1:0
04.05.2024
Jablonec
-
Karviná
3:2
16.12.2023
Jablonec
-
Karviná
0:0
19.08.2023
Karviná
-
Jablonec
1:1
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:7 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Plzen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Zlin | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5:4 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Karvina | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Liberec | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15:22 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Ostrava | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Teplice | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
