Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/321) | 79% (313/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/321) | 79% (313/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (56/88) | 63% (79/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 64% (18/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Prebsl F. 🟨,
- 37', Lapes J. 🟨,
- 40', Jarolim M. 🟨,
- 41', Soucek D. 🟨,
- 43', Nebyla S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Soucek D. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Nebyla S. ⚽,
- 63', Ezeh L. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
- 70', Alegue A. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
- 70', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 77', Kacor P. 🟨,
- 87', Fleisman J. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
- 88', Chytry J. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 88', Kacor P. ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 90', Holly D. 🟨,
- 90', Nebyla S. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
- 90', Holly D. ↓, Cedidla M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jablonec
48% | Draw
26.6% | Karviná
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Jablonec - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.94) |
3.52 ↓
(3.58) |
3.66 ↑
(3.4) |
6.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
Jablonec will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jablonec will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 3.
- Karviná is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jablonec might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Furaha J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Cedidla M.
(Injury)
Hanus J.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Milic N.
(Injury)
- We predict that Jablonec will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Karviná?
Jablonec has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Jablonec?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Karviná were as follows:
20.09.2025
Karviná
-
Jablonec
1:2
23.02.2025
Jablonec
-
Karviná
5:0
21.09.2024
Karviná
-
Jablonec
1:0
04.05.2024
Jablonec
-
Karviná
3:2
16.12.2023
Jablonec
-
Karviná
0:0
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
