Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 22
- Referee: Radina M. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/328) | 70% (233/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/328) | 70% (233/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (57/100) | 61% (72/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Kacor P. 🟨,
- 16', Doudera D. ↓, Isife S. ↑,
- 16', 0 - 1, Chory T. ⚽, Sadilek M. (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Kacor P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kusej V. ↓, Chytil M. ↑,
- 57', Jarolim M. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Boril J. ⚽, Suleiman M. E. (A),
- 68', Ayaosi E. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Chytil M. ⚽, Chory T. (A),
- 76', Suleiman M. E. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
- 76', Kacor P. ↓, Lawali Y. ↑,
- 76', Ezeh L. ↓, Kahuan Vinicius ↑,
- 77', Prekop E. 🟨,
- 81', Isife S. 🟨,
- 83', Milic N. ↓, Vallo K. ↑,
- 90', Chory T. ↓, Sanyang Y. ↑,
- 90', Schranz I. ↓, Mbodji Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
15% | Draw
21% | Slavia Prague
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slavia Prague's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Karviná - Slavia Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.21 ↑
(5) |
4.48 ↑
(3.91) |
1.46 ↓
(1.61) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Karviná - Slavia Prague?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Slavia Prague will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Prague: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Slavia Prague is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Camara S.
(Loan agreement)
Fiala J.
(Injury)
Fleisman J.
(Red Card)
Kristan J.
(Injury)
Labik A.
(Loan agreement)
Sloncik S.
(Loan agreement)
- There will not play in Slavia Prague: Buzek A.
(Injury)
Dorley O.
(Red Card)
Javorcek D.
(Knee Injury)
Moses D.
(Health problems)
Sevcik P.
(Knee Injury)
Vlcek T.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Chytil M.
(Health problems)
Ogbu I.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:55. (average 0.8:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.7:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Slavia Prague?
Karviná has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slavia Prague won against Karviná?
Slavia Prague has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Slavia Prague were as follows:
13.09.2025
Slavia Prague
-
Karviná
3:1
12.04.2025
Karviná
-
Slavia Prague
0:4
10.11.2024
Slavia Prague
-
Karviná
5:1
18.02.2024
Karviná
-
Slavia Prague
0:3
03.09.2023
Slavia Prague
-
Karviná
5:1
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
