Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.58
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
11	20
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
1	10
Passes
83% (393/476)	77% (309/401)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	0.83
Total shots
11	20
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	9
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
7	13
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	3
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
1	10
Touches in opposition box
17	39
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
83% (393/476)	77% (309/401)
Long passes
61% (30/49)	39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
74% (72/97)	73% (137/188)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	1.13
Throw-ins
17	22
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
46% (6/13)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
70	57
Clearances
45	13
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
0.83	0.30
Goals prevented
0.83	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Yamada Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Hosoya M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
66', Germain R. 🟨,
67', Harada W. ↓, Katayama E. ↑,
67', Diego ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
73', Kinoshita K. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
80', Shiotani T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
80', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
89', Germain R. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
90', Tanaka S. ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
34.7%

Draw
28.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

25.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.69)	5.8% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 0.
Kashiwa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Watai M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kinoshita K. (Injury) Marcos Junior (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

16.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

25.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 2:0

22.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1

26.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:0

19.03.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

20.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 1:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

16.09.2025 Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

03.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League