Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
1:1
16/03/2025 at 01:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.43
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
169
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
81
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
157
Offsides
13
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2224
Touches in the Opposition Box
2735
Passes
78% (301/387)82% (494/599)
Passes in the final third
66% (82/125)80% (147/183)
Crosses
26% (6/23)36% (4/11)
Tackles
76% (13/17)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
2037
Interceptions
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', Watai M. , Nakama H. ,
  • 65', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 65', Nakamura S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 65', Nakano S. , Arai N. ,
  • 66', Sasaki S. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Higashi S. , Koshimichi S. (A),
  • 81', Koizumi Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 81', Inukai T. , Tanaka H. ,
  • 84', Harakawa R. 🟨,
  • 85', Kakita Y. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Hosoya M. , Kinoshita K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
49%
Draw
28.5%
Kashiwa Reysol
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 24.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanfrecce Hiroshima's form might have worsened.
  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.67)
    3.3
    (3.64)
    4.2
    (5.23)
    6.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 4.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Kashiwa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Hiroshima to win the game is with odds 1.7.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 2:0
    22.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    26.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:0
    19.03.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto26146643:301348
    2Kashima Antlers26153838:251348
    3Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    4Machida26144839:251446
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima26144830:181246
    6Vissel Kobe26144834:25946
    7Urawa Reds26128636:261044
    8Kawasaki Frontale26109741:32939
    9Cerezo Osaka26107940:37337
    10Avispa Fukuoka2699827:26136
    11Gamba Osaka261041229:35-634
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse26871130:35-531
    14Verdy26871116:25-931
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus26771230:37-728
    17Shonan Bellmare26671322:41-1925
    18Yokohama F. Marinos26661426:34-824
    19Yokohama FC26641616:32-1622
    20Albirex Niigata26481426:45-1920

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