Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (267/332) | 83% (299/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (267/332) | 83% (299/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (43/77) | 71% (80/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Benedyczak A. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Kozlowski K. ⚽, Bayo M. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Bayo M. ⚽, Camara D. (A),
- 42', Camara D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Sangare N. 🟨,
- 59', Bayo M. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
- 64', Baldursson A. F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 64', Allevinah J. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
- 68', Corekci K. 🟨,
- 75', Kozlowski K. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
- 77', Corekci K. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 77', Benedyczak A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 81', Demirbay K. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 83', Opoku N. 🟨,
- 84', Maxim A. ↓, Kabasakal M. ↑,
- 84', Rodrigues K. ↓, Kizildag A. ↑,
- 85', Ozcicek O. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,
- 90', Kabasakal M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gorgen Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gaziantep
44.3% | Draw
27.9% | Kasımpaşa
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.03) |
3.36 ↑
(3.35) |
3.39 ↓
(3.57) |
6.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 36.5% – 75.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Gaziantep (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Kasımpaşa (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Gaziantep (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 2.
- Gaziantep has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Gaziantep may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gaziantep will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gaziantep: Abena M.
(Inactive)
Ablak A.
(Knee Injury)
M'Bakata S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Aydin E.
(Inactive)
Kahveci I. C.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gaziantep won against Kasımpaşa?
Gaziantep has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Gaziantep?
Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
30.08.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Gaziantep
2:3
24.05.2025
Gaziantep
-
Kasımpaşa
2:2
05.01.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Gaziantep
2:2
21.04.2024
Gaziantep
-
Kasımpaşa
2:0
03.12.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Gaziantep
4:2
Latest results of Gaziantep
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34:38 | -4 | 39 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:49 | -11 | 34 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20:43 | -23 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
