Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Cereni M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Luftëtari Gjirokastër
34% | Draw
30.1% | Kastrioti
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luftëtari Gjirokastër has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luftëtari Gjirokastër's form might have worsened.Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luftëtari Gjirokastër than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luftëtari Gjirokastër, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kastrioti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.24) |
2.99 ↓
(3.28) |
2.5 ↓
(2.8) |
11.3%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Luftëtari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luftëtari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Luftëtari won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Luftëtari Gjirokastër won against Kastrioti?
Luftëtari Gjirokastër has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kastrioti won against Luftëtari Gjirokastër?
Kastrioti has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Kastrioti were as follows:
08.11.2025
Kastrioti
-
Luftëtari Gjirokastër
3:1
Latest results of Luftëtari Gjirokastër
Latest results of Kastrioti
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 77 |
| 2 | Laci ✔ | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 76 |
| 3 | Pogradeci ✔ | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje ✔ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti ✔ | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari ✔ | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | -19 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier ✔ | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja ✔ | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
Lushnja is Relegated to
